Latest ensemble forecasts from DWD and ECMWF models show a frontal system approaching Munich on September 5, 2026, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds limiting daytime heating after a warmer September 4. This setup supports trader consensus around 23–24°C as the most probable maximum, with the slight edge to 24°C reflecting afternoon model peaks near that threshold. Precipitation probabilities above 70% further cap potential warming, while historical September averages near 21°C provide context for the modest elevation. New high-resolution runs and observational updates from the German Weather Service in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities between these closely matched outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 5 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Munich le 5 septembre ?
24°C 35%
23°C 30%
26°C 18%
25°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
6%
22°C
9%
23°C
30%
24°C
35%
25°C
12%
26°C
18%
27°C
2%
28°C ou plus
2%
24°C 35%
23°C 30%
26°C 18%
25°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
5 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
3%
19°C
$5 Vol.
3%
20°C
$4 Vol.
3%
21°C
$501 Vol.
6%
22°C
$12 Vol.
9%
23°C
$22 Vol.
30%
24°C
$25 Vol.
35%
25°C
$173 Vol.
12%
26°C
$0 Vol.
18%
27°C
$0 Vol.
2%
28°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from DWD and ECMWF models show a frontal system approaching Munich on September 5, 2026, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds limiting daytime heating after a warmer September 4. This setup supports trader consensus around 23–24°C as the most probable maximum, with the slight edge to 24°C reflecting afternoon model peaks near that threshold. Precipitation probabilities above 70% further cap potential warming, while historical September averages near 21°C provide context for the modest elevation. New high-resolution runs and observational updates from the German Weather Service in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities between these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$741Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from DWD and ECMWF models show a frontal system approaching Munich on September 5, 2026, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds limiting daytime heating after a warmer September 4. This setup supports trader consensus around 23–24°C as the most probable maximum, with the slight edge to 24°C reflecting afternoon model peaks near that threshold. Precipitation probabilities above 70% further cap potential warming, while historical September averages near 21°C provide context for the modest elevation. New high-resolution runs and observational updates from the German Weather Service in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities between these closely matched outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$741Date de fin
5 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from DWD and ECMWF models show a frontal system approaching Munich on September 5, 2026, with widespread cloud cover, showers, and westerly winds limiting daytime heating after a warmer September 4. This setup supports trader consensus around 23–24°C as the most probable maximum, with the slight edge to 24°C reflecting afternoon model peaks near that threshold. Precipitation probabilities above 70% further cap potential warming, while historical September averages near 21°C provide context for the modest elevation. New high-resolution runs and observational updates from the German Weather Service in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities between these closely matched outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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