Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily high near 30°C for Incheon on September 3, supporting the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome. Northerly winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit afternoon heating while preventing significant cooling, with consensus highs ranging 29–31°C across sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles. This positioning aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where post-monsoon moderation typically yields averages around 28–30°C. Model spread introduces modest uncertainty for 29°C or 31°C bins, though no major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the current trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 3 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Séoul (Incheon) le 3 septembre ?
30°C 50%
31°C 25%
29°C 17%
32°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
17%
30°C
50%
31°C
25%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 50%
31°C 25%
29°C 17%
32°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 sept. 2026
24°C or below
$230 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$522 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$302 Vol.
1%
27°C
$251 Vol.
1%
28°C
$278 Vol.
4%
29°C
$441 Vol.
17%
30°C
$1,121 Vol.
50%
31°C
$853 Vol.
25%
32°C
$616 Vol.
6%
33°C
$310 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$394 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily high near 30°C for Incheon on September 3, supporting the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome. Northerly winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit afternoon heating while preventing significant cooling, with consensus highs ranging 29–31°C across sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles. This positioning aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where post-monsoon moderation typically yields averages around 28–30°C. Model spread introduces modest uncertainty for 29°C or 31°C bins, though no major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,313Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily high near 30°C for Incheon on September 3, supporting the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome. Northerly winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit afternoon heating while preventing significant cooling, with consensus highs ranging 29–31°C across sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles. This positioning aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where post-monsoon moderation typically yields averages around 28–30°C. Model spread introduces modest uncertainty for 29°C or 31°C bins, though no major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,313Date de fin
3 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a daily high near 30°C for Incheon on September 3, supporting the market's leading 49.5% implied probability for that outcome. Northerly winds and partly cloudy skies are expected to limit afternoon heating while preventing significant cooling, with consensus highs ranging 29–31°C across sources like the Korea Meteorological Administration and international ensembles. This positioning aligns with early-September climatology for the region, where post-monsoon moderation typically yields averages around 28–30°C. Model spread introduces modest uncertainty for 29°C or 31°C bins, though no major forecast shifts have emerged in the past 48 hours to alter the current trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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