Short-range forecast models show significant spread for New York City's overnight low on September 7, keeping multiple temperature bins clustered near 21–25% implied probability. Ensemble guidance from the National Weather Service and global models diverges on the strength of an approaching high-pressure ridge and associated radiational cooling under partly clear skies, with differences in dew-point advection and boundary-layer mixing producing the tight grouping between 55–67°F outcomes. Historical September climatology for the region places average lows near 62°F, but current steering patterns and moisture return could shift the minimum by several degrees either way. Fresh model runs and observational updates from NOAA over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à New York le 7 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à New York le 7 septembre ?
62-63°F 50%
64-65°F 49%
60-61°F 43%
55°F ou moins 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 sept. 2026
55°F ou moins
40%
56-57°F
39%
58-59°F
39%
60-61°F
43%
62-63°F
50%
64-65°F
49%
66-67 °F
39%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
20%
72-73 °F
19%
74°F ou plus
1%
62-63°F 50%
64-65°F 49%
60-61°F 43%
55°F ou moins 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
7 sept. 2026
55°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
40%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
39%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
39%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
43%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
50%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
49%
66-67 °F
$0 Vol.
39%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
39%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
20%
72-73 °F
$0 Vol.
19%
74°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models show significant spread for New York City's overnight low on September 7, keeping multiple temperature bins clustered near 21–25% implied probability. Ensemble guidance from the National Weather Service and global models diverges on the strength of an approaching high-pressure ridge and associated radiational cooling under partly clear skies, with differences in dew-point advection and boundary-layer mixing producing the tight grouping between 55–67°F outcomes. Historical September climatology for the region places average lows near 62°F, but current steering patterns and moisture return could shift the minimum by several degrees either way. Fresh model runs and observational updates from NOAA over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
7 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range forecast models show significant spread for New York City's overnight low on September 7, keeping multiple temperature bins clustered near 21–25% implied probability. Ensemble guidance from the National Weather Service and global models diverges on the strength of an approaching high-pressure ridge and associated radiational cooling under partly clear skies, with differences in dew-point advection and boundary-layer mixing producing the tight grouping between 55–67°F outcomes. Historical September climatology for the region places average lows near 62°F, but current steering patterns and moisture return could shift the minimum by several degrees either way. Fresh model runs and observational updates from NOAA over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
7 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 5, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Short-range forecast models show significant spread for New York City's overnight low on September 7, keeping multiple temperature bins clustered near 21–25% implied probability. Ensemble guidance from the National Weather Service and global models diverges on the strength of an approaching high-pressure ridge and associated radiational cooling under partly clear skies, with differences in dew-point advection and boundary-layer mixing producing the tight grouping between 55–67°F outcomes. Historical September climatology for the region places average lows near 62°F, but current steering patterns and moisture return could shift the minimum by several degrees either way. Fresh model runs and observational updates from NOAA over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température la plus basse à New York sera-t-elle comprise entre 66 et 67°F le 6 septembre ?
49%
Oui
La température la plus élevée à New York sera-t-elle comprise entre 78 et 79°F le 7 septembre ?
35%
Oui
La température la plus basse à New York sera-t-elle comprise entre 70 et 71°F le 5 septembre ?
51%
Oui
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