Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Bay Area heat wave setup on September 8, with reduced marine layer influence and limited sea breeze allowing San Francisco highs to reach the upper 70s to low 80s under mostly sunny conditions. Trader emphasis on the 84–87°F range reflects uncertainty around exact peak readings at official stations, historical September variability, and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover that could push readings higher than baseline guidance. Key resolution hinges on verified daily maximum observations, with fresh model runs and NWS updates likely to refine probabilities as the day progresses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 8 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 8 septembre ?
84-85°F 36%
86-87 °F 24%
82-83 °F 16%
88-89 °F 11.1%
NOUVEAU
$13,985 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,985 Vol.
8 sept. 2026
71°F ou moins
<1%
72-73 °F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
3%
80-81 °F
8%
82-83 °F
16%
84-85°F
36%
86-87 °F
24%
88-89 °F
11%
90°F ou plus
4%
84-85°F 36%
86-87 °F 24%
82-83 °F 16%
88-89 °F 11.1%
NOUVEAU
$13,985 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$13,985 Vol.
8 sept. 2026
71°F ou moins
$473 Vol.
<1%
72-73 °F
$302 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$95 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$512 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$1,007 Vol.
3%
80-81 °F
$2,282 Vol.
8%
82-83 °F
$3,148 Vol.
16%
84-85°F
$3,181 Vol.
36%
86-87 °F
$1,067 Vol.
24%
88-89 °F
$1,022 Vol.
11%
90°F ou plus
$897 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Bay Area heat wave setup on September 8, with reduced marine layer influence and limited sea breeze allowing San Francisco highs to reach the upper 70s to low 80s under mostly sunny conditions. Trader emphasis on the 84–87°F range reflects uncertainty around exact peak readings at official stations, historical September variability, and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover that could push readings higher than baseline guidance. Key resolution hinges on verified daily maximum observations, with fresh model runs and NWS updates likely to refine probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 6, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$13,985Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Bay Area heat wave setup on September 8, with reduced marine layer influence and limited sea breeze allowing San Francisco highs to reach the upper 70s to low 80s under mostly sunny conditions. Trader emphasis on the 84–87°F range reflects uncertainty around exact peak readings at official stations, historical September variability, and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover that could push readings higher than baseline guidance. Key resolution hinges on verified daily maximum observations, with fresh model runs and NWS updates likely to refine probabilities as the day progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$13,985Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a Bay Area heat wave setup on September 8, with reduced marine layer influence and limited sea breeze allowing San Francisco highs to reach the upper 70s to low 80s under mostly sunny conditions. Trader emphasis on the 84–87°F range reflects uncertainty around exact peak readings at official stations, historical September variability, and any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or cloud cover that could push readings higher than baseline guidance. Key resolution hinges on verified daily maximum observations, with fresh model runs and NWS updates likely to refine probabilities as the day progresses.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température maximale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 80 et 81°F le 7 septembre ?
100%
Oui
La température maximale à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 92 et 93°F le 9 septembre ?
27%
Oui
La température la plus basse à San Francisco sera-t-elle comprise entre 60 et 61°F le 8 septembre ?
55%
Oui
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