The closely matched probabilities around 29–31°C reflect uncertainty over how effectively the ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) will suppress peak heating on September 10. Persistent cloud cover, scattered rain showers, and thunderstorms—driven by southwesterly flow—limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, typically capping Manila maxima near or below the 30°C historical average for early September. PAGASA outlooks show a 25–31°C range with moderate southwest winds, while recent model guidance indicates variable rainfall intensity that could allow brief clearing and a 31°C spike or keep readings nearer 29°C. Traders weigh the strength of monsoon moisture convergence against any short-term breaks in convection before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Manille le 10 septembre ?
Température la plus élevée à Manille le 10 septembre ?
30°C 30%
29°C 27%
31°C 17%
28°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 sept. 2026
24°C ou moins
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
6%
28°C
14%
29°C
27%
30°C
30%
31°C
17%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C ou plus
<1%
30°C 30%
29°C 27%
31°C 17%
28°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 sept. 2026
24°C ou moins
$144 Vol.
1%
25°C
$130 Vol.
2%
26°C
$387 Vol.
2%
27°C
$47 Vol.
6%
28°C
$694 Vol.
14%
29°C
$1,978 Vol.
27%
30°C
$334 Vol.
30%
31°C
$1,294 Vol.
17%
32°C
$147 Vol.
4%
33°C
$88 Vol.
1%
34°C ou plus
$182 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities around 29–31°C reflect uncertainty over how effectively the ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) will suppress peak heating on September 10. Persistent cloud cover, scattered rain showers, and thunderstorms—driven by southwesterly flow—limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, typically capping Manila maxima near or below the 30°C historical average for early September. PAGASA outlooks show a 25–31°C range with moderate southwest winds, while recent model guidance indicates variable rainfall intensity that could allow brief clearing and a 31°C spike or keep readings nearer 29°C. Traders weigh the strength of monsoon moisture convergence against any short-term breaks in convection before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,425Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched probabilities around 29–31°C reflect uncertainty over how effectively the ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) will suppress peak heating on September 10. Persistent cloud cover, scattered rain showers, and thunderstorms—driven by southwesterly flow—limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, typically capping Manila maxima near or below the 30°C historical average for early September. PAGASA outlooks show a 25–31°C range with moderate southwest winds, while recent model guidance indicates variable rainfall intensity that could allow brief clearing and a 31°C spike or keep readings nearer 29°C. Traders weigh the strength of monsoon moisture convergence against any short-term breaks in convection before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,425Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities around 29–31°C reflect uncertainty over how effectively the ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) will suppress peak heating on September 10. Persistent cloud cover, scattered rain showers, and thunderstorms—driven by southwesterly flow—limit solar insolation and promote evaporative cooling, typically capping Manila maxima near or below the 30°C historical average for early September. PAGASA outlooks show a 25–31°C range with moderate southwest winds, while recent model guidance indicates variable rainfall intensity that could allow brief clearing and a 31°C spike or keep readings nearer 29°C. Traders weigh the strength of monsoon moisture convergence against any short-term breaks in convection before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes