Official observations from Argentine meteorological stations, including data aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional monitoring, recorded a minimum temperature of 7°C in Buenos Aires on September 10, consistent with ensemble forecast models showing limited overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies and easterly flow. This outcome matched the dominant model consensus and climatological expectations for early spring, where typical minima hover near 8–12°C, producing the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential post-event data revisions from the primary reporting station or discrepancies in microclimate measurements across the metropolitan area.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Buenos Aires le 10 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Buenos Aires le 10 septembre ?
7°C 100.0%
6°C ou moins <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$1,186 Vol.
$1,186 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
6°C ou moins
Non
7°C
Oui
8°C
Non
9°C
Non
10°C
Non
11°C
Non
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C ou plus
Non
7°C 100.0%
6°C ou moins <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$1,186 Vol.
$1,186 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
6°C ou moins
$47 Vol.
Non
7°C
$310 Vol.
Oui
8°C
$110 Vol.
Non
9°C
$100 Vol.
Non
10°C
$88 Vol.
Non
11°C
$77 Vol.
Non
12°C
$344 Vol.
Non
13°C
$5 Vol.
Non
14°C
$5 Vol.
Non
15°C
$50 Vol.
Non
16°C ou plus
$50 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Argentine meteorological stations, including data aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional monitoring, recorded a minimum temperature of 7°C in Buenos Aires on September 10, consistent with ensemble forecast models showing limited overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies and easterly flow. This outcome matched the dominant model consensus and climatological expectations for early spring, where typical minima hover near 8–12°C, producing the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential post-event data revisions from the primary reporting station or discrepancies in microclimate measurements across the metropolitan area.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,186Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Argentine meteorological stations, including data aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional monitoring, recorded a minimum temperature of 7°C in Buenos Aires on September 10, consistent with ensemble forecast models showing limited overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies and easterly flow. This outcome matched the dominant model consensus and climatological expectations for early spring, where typical minima hover near 8–12°C, producing the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential post-event data revisions from the primary reporting station or discrepancies in microclimate measurements across the metropolitan area.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,186Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official observations from Argentine meteorological stations, including data aligned with Servicio Meteorológico Nacional monitoring, recorded a minimum temperature of 7°C in Buenos Aires on September 10, consistent with ensemble forecast models showing limited overnight cooling under partly cloudy skies and easterly flow. This outcome matched the dominant model consensus and climatological expectations for early spring, where typical minima hover near 8–12°C, producing the overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability. Realistic challenges remain limited but include potential post-event data revisions from the primary reporting station or discrepancies in microclimate measurements across the metropolitan area.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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