Divergent short-range forecast models from Environment Canada and global ensembles create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around both sub-10 °C and 19 °C-plus lows for Toronto on September 10. Key variables include the strength and timing of any approaching cold front, Lake Ontario’s moderating influence on overnight radiative cooling, and variable cloud cover that could limit temperature drops. With the date only hours away, latest model runs show spread in minimum temperatures driven by uncertain wind shifts and boundary-layer moisture; traders weigh these against typical early-September climatology of 12–15 °C lows while awaiting updated guidance from the next model cycle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Toronto le 10 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Toronto le 10 septembre ?
9°C ou moins 75%
19°C ou plus 35%
16°C 31%
10°C 29%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 sept. 2026
9°C ou moins
75%
10°C
29%
11°C
29%
12°C
29%
13°C
29%
14°C
19%
15°C
22%
16°C
31%
17°C
22%
18°C
16%
19°C ou plus
35%
9°C ou moins 75%
19°C ou plus 35%
16°C 31%
10°C 29%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
10 sept. 2026
9°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
75%
10°C
$0 Vol.
29%
11°C
$0 Vol.
29%
12°C
$0 Vol.
29%
13°C
$0 Vol.
29%
14°C
$0 Vol.
19%
15°C
$0 Vol.
22%
16°C
$0 Vol.
31%
17°C
$0 Vol.
22%
18°C
$0 Vol.
16%
19°C ou plus
$27 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Divergent short-range forecast models from Environment Canada and global ensembles create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around both sub-10 °C and 19 °C-plus lows for Toronto on September 10. Key variables include the strength and timing of any approaching cold front, Lake Ontario’s moderating influence on overnight radiative cooling, and variable cloud cover that could limit temperature drops. With the date only hours away, latest model runs show spread in minimum temperatures driven by uncertain wind shifts and boundary-layer moisture; traders weigh these against typical early-September climatology of 12–15 °C lows while awaiting updated guidance from the next model cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volume
$27Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Divergent short-range forecast models from Environment Canada and global ensembles create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around both sub-10 °C and 19 °C-plus lows for Toronto on September 10. Key variables include the strength and timing of any approaching cold front, Lake Ontario’s moderating influence on overnight radiative cooling, and variable cloud cover that could limit temperature drops. With the date only hours away, latest model runs show spread in minimum temperatures driven by uncertain wind shifts and boundary-layer moisture; traders weigh these against typical early-September climatology of 12–15 °C lows while awaiting updated guidance from the next model cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 8:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Divergent short-range forecast models from Environment Canada and global ensembles create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around both sub-10 °C and 19 °C-plus lows for Toronto on September 10. Key variables include the strength and timing of any approaching cold front, Lake Ontario’s moderating influence on overnight radiative cooling, and variable cloud cover that could limit temperature drops. With the date only hours away, latest model runs show spread in minimum temperatures driven by uncertain wind shifts and boundary-layer moisture; traders weigh these against typical early-September climatology of 12–15 °C lows while awaiting updated guidance from the next model cycle.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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