Recent forecast consensus from models such as GFS and official updates places Paris’s September 9 maximum near 21°C under partly cloudy skies and northwest flow following a frontal passage, with light winds and negligible precipitation risk limiting daytime heating. This positions 21°C as the leading market outcome at 58.5% implied probability, followed closely by 22°C, consistent with conditions slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.4°C for the date. Official observations from stations like Paris-Le Bourget will determine resolution once the full diurnal cycle completes, with any late-afternoon clearing or wind shifts offering limited potential to push readings higher.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Paris le 9 septembre ?
21°C 64%
22°C 36%
23°C 3.7%
25°C <1%
$43,819 Vol.
$43,819 Vol.
16°C ou moins
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
58%
22°C
39%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C ou plus
<1%
21°C 64%
22°C 36%
23°C 3.7%
25°C <1%
$43,819 Vol.
$43,819 Vol.
16°C ou moins
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
58%
22°C
39%
23°C
4%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models such as GFS and official updates places Paris’s September 9 maximum near 21°C under partly cloudy skies and northwest flow following a frontal passage, with light winds and negligible precipitation risk limiting daytime heating. This positions 21°C as the leading market outcome at 58.5% implied probability, followed closely by 22°C, consistent with conditions slightly below the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 22.4°C for the date. Official observations from stations like Paris-Le Bourget will determine resolution once the full diurnal cycle completes, with any late-afternoon clearing or wind shifts offering limited potential to push readings higher.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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