Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with National Weather Service equivalents and regional analyses, point to a high near 21–22°C in Cape Town on September 9 under mostly sunny skies and moderate southerly winds. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, where trader consensus reflects the narrow spread between typical spring afternoon peaks and potential slight warming from clear conditions. Historical September averages hover near 18°C, but current patterns show above-normal warmth persisting into early spring, with low precipitation risk supporting higher readings. Key uncertainties include minor model disagreements on peak timing and local variations near Table Mountain, with final official measurements from stations like Cape Town International likely resolving the market. Updated guidance expected overnight could shift probabilities if winds strengthen or cloud cover increases.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée au Cap le 9 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée au Cap le 9 septembre ?
22°C 29%
23°C 22%
21°C 18%
24°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 sept. 2026
17°C ou moins
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
4%
20°C
8%
21°C
18%
22°C
29%
23°C
22%
24°C
12%
25°C
4%
26°C
3%
27°C ou plus
<1%
22°C 29%
23°C 22%
21°C 18%
24°C 12%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 sept. 2026
17°C ou moins
$266 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$203 Vol.
4%
20°C
$433 Vol.
8%
21°C
$271 Vol.
18%
22°C
$104 Vol.
29%
23°C
$66 Vol.
22%
24°C
$747 Vol.
12%
25°C
$66 Vol.
4%
26°C
$44 Vol.
3%
27°C ou plus
$212 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with National Weather Service equivalents and regional analyses, point to a high near 21–22°C in Cape Town on September 9 under mostly sunny skies and moderate southerly winds. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, where trader consensus reflects the narrow spread between typical spring afternoon peaks and potential slight warming from clear conditions. Historical September averages hover near 18°C, but current patterns show above-normal warmth persisting into early spring, with low precipitation risk supporting higher readings. Key uncertainties include minor model disagreements on peak timing and local variations near Table Mountain, with final official measurements from stations like Cape Town International likely resolving the market. Updated guidance expected overnight could shift probabilities if winds strengthen or cloud cover increases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$2,702Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with National Weather Service equivalents and regional analyses, point to a high near 21–22°C in Cape Town on September 9 under mostly sunny skies and moderate southerly winds. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, where trader consensus reflects the narrow spread between typical spring afternoon peaks and potential slight warming from clear conditions. Historical September averages hover near 18°C, but current patterns show above-normal warmth persisting into early spring, with low precipitation risk supporting higher readings. Key uncertainties include minor model disagreements on peak timing and local variations near Table Mountain, with final official measurements from stations like Cape Town International likely resolving the market. Updated guidance expected overnight could shift probabilities if winds strengthen or cloud cover increases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,702Date de fin
9 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with National Weather Service equivalents and regional analyses, point to a high near 21–22°C in Cape Town on September 9 under mostly sunny skies and moderate southerly winds. This aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes, where trader consensus reflects the narrow spread between typical spring afternoon peaks and potential slight warming from clear conditions. Historical September averages hover near 18°C, but current patterns show above-normal warmth persisting into early spring, with low precipitation risk supporting higher readings. Key uncertainties include minor model disagreements on peak timing and local variations near Table Mountain, with final official measurements from stations like Cape Town International likely resolving the market. Updated guidance expected overnight could shift probabilities if winds strengthen or cloud cover increases.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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