Clear skies and light northeasterly winds have enabled strong nocturnal radiative cooling over Madrid on September 10, 2026, driving overnight temperatures steadily downward from afternoon highs near 28°C. Multiple forecast models, including GFS runs and official guidance, converge on a minimum of 11–13°C during the pre-dawn hours, with dry air and minimal cloud cover supporting further drops below typical early-September averages of 15–16°C. This atmospheric setup explains the market’s near-certain pricing of 11°C or below. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind speeds before sunrise could limit cooling and push the observed low above the threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Madrid le 10 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Madrid le 10 septembre ?
11°C ou moins 100.0%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$1,308 Vol.
$1,308 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
Oui
12°C
Non
13°C
Non
14°C
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19 °C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C ou plus
Non
11°C ou moins 100.0%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$1,308 Vol.
$1,308 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
$319 Vol.
Oui
12°C
$244 Vol.
Non
13°C
$144 Vol.
Non
14°C
$279 Vol.
Non
15°C
$72 Vol.
Non
16°C
$25 Vol.
Non
17°C
$6 Vol.
Non
18°C
$55 Vol.
Non
19 °C
$52 Vol.
Non
20°C
$51 Vol.
Non
21°C ou plus
$60 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northeasterly winds have enabled strong nocturnal radiative cooling over Madrid on September 10, 2026, driving overnight temperatures steadily downward from afternoon highs near 28°C. Multiple forecast models, including GFS runs and official guidance, converge on a minimum of 11–13°C during the pre-dawn hours, with dry air and minimal cloud cover supporting further drops below typical early-September averages of 15–16°C. This atmospheric setup explains the market’s near-certain pricing of 11°C or below. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind speeds before sunrise could limit cooling and push the observed low above the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,308Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and light northeasterly winds have enabled strong nocturnal radiative cooling over Madrid on September 10, 2026, driving overnight temperatures steadily downward from afternoon highs near 28°C. Multiple forecast models, including GFS runs and official guidance, converge on a minimum of 11–13°C during the pre-dawn hours, with dry air and minimal cloud cover supporting further drops below typical early-September averages of 15–16°C. This atmospheric setup explains the market’s near-certain pricing of 11°C or below. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind speeds before sunrise could limit cooling and push the observed low above the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,308Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Clear skies and light northeasterly winds have enabled strong nocturnal radiative cooling over Madrid on September 10, 2026, driving overnight temperatures steadily downward from afternoon highs near 28°C. Multiple forecast models, including GFS runs and official guidance, converge on a minimum of 11–13°C during the pre-dawn hours, with dry air and minimal cloud cover supporting further drops below typical early-September averages of 15–16°C. This atmospheric setup explains the market’s near-certain pricing of 11°C or below. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover or wind speeds before sunrise could limit cooling and push the observed low above the threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes