**Current forecast models project a minimum temperature near 24–25°C for Shenzhen on September 10, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with light northeasterly winds, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international models, consistently indicate overnight lows in this range amid partly cloudy to rainy skies, aligning trader consensus with probabilities clustered around 24–26°C. The notable market-implied odds on 29°C or higher likely reflect uncertainty over whether persistent cloud cover or rain will suppress cooling further, while the weight on cooler outcomes accounts for possible clearer periods or model variability. No major shifts from recent typhoon activity or ENSO patterns have altered the baseline outlook, with official updates expected from the China Meteorological Administration in the coming hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shenzhen le 10 septembre ?
29°C ou plus 68%
19°C ou moins 64%
25°C 30%
24°C 26%
19°C ou moins
64%
20°C
18%
21°C
20%
22°C
14%
23°C
19%
24°C
26%
25°C
30%
26°C
25%
27°C
22%
28°C
5%
29°C ou plus
68%
29°C ou plus 68%
19°C ou moins 64%
25°C 30%
24°C 26%
19°C ou moins
64%
20°C
18%
21°C
20%
22°C
14%
23°C
19%
24°C
26%
25°C
30%
26°C
25%
27°C
22%
28°C
5%
29°C ou plus
68%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models project a minimum temperature near 24–25°C for Shenzhen on September 10, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with light northeasterly winds, high humidity, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling.** Multiple sources, including Chinese meteorological services and international models, consistently indicate overnight lows in this range amid partly cloudy to rainy skies, aligning trader consensus with probabilities clustered around 24–26°C. The notable market-implied odds on 29°C or higher likely reflect uncertainty over whether persistent cloud cover or rain will suppress cooling further, while the weight on cooler outcomes accounts for possible clearer periods or model variability. No major shifts from recent typhoon activity or ENSO patterns have altered the baseline outlook, with official updates expected from the China Meteorological Administration in the coming hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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