**Current forecasts and observations indicate the overnight low in Shenzhen on September 11, 2026, will reach 26°C, aligning with the market's 98% implied probability for that outcome.** Subtropical conditions, persistent cloud cover, high humidity (often 70-90%), and light easterly or northeasterly winds limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from falling further. Multiple models and reports show daily lows clustered around 24-26°C, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 24°C amid the lingering warm, moist monsoon influence. The strong trader consensus reflects real-time data from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and PredictWind showing no credible pathway to 25°C or below on this date. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp drop in cloud cover or an unforecasted cold surge, both improbable given stable atmospheric patterns and short remaining time window before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shenzhen le 11 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Shenzhen le 11 septembre ?
26°C 100.0%
25°C 8%
20°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
$622 Vol.
$622 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Oui
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C ou plus
Non
26°C 100.0%
25°C 8%
20°C ou moins <1%
21°C <1%
$622 Vol.
$622 Vol.
11 sept. 2026
20°C ou moins
$20 Vol.
Non
21°C
$20 Vol.
Non
22°C
$5 Vol.
Non
23°C
$30 Vol.
Non
24°C
$83 Vol.
Non
25°C
$129 Vol.
Non
26°C
$110 Vol.
Oui
27°C
$25 Vol.
Non
28°C
$15 Vol.
Non
29°C
$25 Vol.
Non
30°C ou plus
$160 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts and observations indicate the overnight low in Shenzhen on September 11, 2026, will reach 26°C, aligning with the market's 98% implied probability for that outcome.**
Subtropical conditions, persistent cloud cover, high humidity (often 70-90%), and light easterly or northeasterly winds limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from falling further. Multiple models and reports show daily lows clustered around 24-26°C, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 24°C amid the lingering warm, moist monsoon influence.
The strong trader consensus reflects real-time data from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and PredictWind showing no credible pathway to 25°C or below on this date. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp drop in cloud cover or an unforecasted cold surge, both improbable given stable atmospheric patterns and short remaining time window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$622Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts and observations indicate the overnight low in Shenzhen on September 11, 2026, will reach 26°C, aligning with the market's 98% implied probability for that outcome.**
Subtropical conditions, persistent cloud cover, high humidity (often 70-90%), and light easterly or northeasterly winds limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from falling further. Multiple models and reports show daily lows clustered around 24-26°C, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 24°C amid the lingering warm, moist monsoon influence.
The strong trader consensus reflects real-time data from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and PredictWind showing no credible pathway to 25°C or below on this date. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp drop in cloud cover or an unforecasted cold surge, both improbable given stable atmospheric patterns and short remaining time window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$622Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Current forecasts and observations indicate the overnight low in Shenzhen on September 11, 2026, will reach 26°C, aligning with the market's 98% implied probability for that outcome.** Subtropical conditions, persistent cloud cover, high humidity (often 70-90%), and light easterly or northeasterly winds limit radiative cooling overnight, keeping temperatures from falling further. Multiple models and reports show daily lows clustered around 24-26°C, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover near 24°C amid the lingering warm, moist monsoon influence. The strong trader consensus reflects real-time data from sources like WeatherBug, Yr.no, and PredictWind showing no credible pathway to 25°C or below on this date. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp drop in cloud cover or an unforecasted cold surge, both improbable given stable atmospheric patterns and short remaining time window before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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