Trader sentiment centers on late-summer monsoon conditions over Shenzhen, where persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity near 80-90% are moderating the diurnal temperature range. Official forecasts from multiple models show overnight lows clustering near 24-26°C as moist easterly flow and widespread precipitation suppress radiational cooling, keeping surface temperatures elevated compared with drier historical analogs. The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence through the final hours of the period, with any clearer skies or reduced moisture potentially allowing a dip toward 24°C while sustained rain favors the higher end near 26°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shenzhen le 13 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Shenzhen le 13 septembre ?
24°C 100%
22°C 90%
23°C 90%
21°C ou moins 15%
$863 Vol.
$863 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
15%
22°C
90%
23°C
90%
24°C
100%
25°C
48%
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C ou plus
<1%
24°C 100%
22°C 90%
23°C 90%
21°C ou moins 15%
$863 Vol.
$863 Vol.
13 sept. 2026
21°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
15%
22°C
$0 Vol.
90%
23°C
$15 Vol.
90%
24°C
$65 Vol.
100%
25°C
$122 Vol.
48%
26°C
$132 Vol.
-
27°C
$88 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$397 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
31°C ou plus
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on late-summer monsoon conditions over Shenzhen, where persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity near 80-90% are moderating the diurnal temperature range. Official forecasts from multiple models show overnight lows clustering near 24-26°C as moist easterly flow and widespread precipitation suppress radiational cooling, keeping surface temperatures elevated compared with drier historical analogs. The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence through the final hours of the period, with any clearer skies or reduced moisture potentially allowing a dip toward 24°C while sustained rain favors the higher end near 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$863Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment centers on late-summer monsoon conditions over Shenzhen, where persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity near 80-90% are moderating the diurnal temperature range. Official forecasts from multiple models show overnight lows clustering near 24-26°C as moist easterly flow and widespread precipitation suppress radiational cooling, keeping surface temperatures elevated compared with drier historical analogs. The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence through the final hours of the period, with any clearer skies or reduced moisture potentially allowing a dip toward 24°C while sustained rain favors the higher end near 26°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$863Date de fin
13 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment centers on late-summer monsoon conditions over Shenzhen, where persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity near 80-90% are moderating the diurnal temperature range. Official forecasts from multiple models show overnight lows clustering near 24-26°C as moist easterly flow and widespread precipitation suppress radiational cooling, keeping surface temperatures elevated compared with drier historical analogs. The narrow spread among leading outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact rainfall timing and cloud persistence through the final hours of the period, with any clearer skies or reduced moisture potentially allowing a dip toward 24°C while sustained rain favors the higher end near 26°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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