Latest numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF and GFS show a narrow temperature range centered on 20–21°C for Amsterdam on September 13, driven by weak high pressure, light southerly flow, and limited diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies. This consensus explains the near-even market split between those two outcomes, with only modest implied probability on 22°C reflecting residual model spread and potential for slightly stronger insolation. Historical September maxima in the region average near 20°C, providing climatological context, while KNMI observational updates tomorrow morning will resolve the precise daily high against official criteria.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Amsterdam le 13 septembre ?
20°C 46%
21°C 46%
22°C 5%
19°C 5%
14°C ou moins
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
46%
21°C
46%
22°C
5%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou plus
<1%
20°C 46%
21°C 46%
22°C 5%
19°C 5%
14°C ou moins
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
46%
21°C
46%
22°C
5%
23°C
<1%
24°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 11, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from ECMWF and GFS show a narrow temperature range centered on 20–21°C for Amsterdam on September 13, driven by weak high pressure, light southerly flow, and limited diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies. This consensus explains the near-even market split between those two outcomes, with only modest implied probability on 22°C reflecting residual model spread and potential for slightly stronger insolation. Historical September maxima in the region average near 20°C, providing climatological context, while KNMI observational updates tomorrow morning will resolve the precise daily high against official criteria.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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