Persistent southerly flow and high dew points near 75°F are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling across central Texas, supporting National Weather Service forecasts of overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 11. This pattern, driven by a strong Bermuda high, contrasts with the historical average low of 69°F and keeps probabilities for sub-68°F readings dependent on an unlikely frontal passage or model shift toward greater cloud cover and moisture. Elevated heat indices near 108°F further signal minimal temperature drops, though short-term ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around exact minimum thresholds. Updated model runs from NOAA and local offices will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Austin le 11 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Austin le 11 septembre ?
67°F ou moins 98%
86°F ou plus 98%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
67°F ou moins
98%
68-69°F
38%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
38%
80-81°F
38%
82-83°F
38%
84-85°F
39%
86°F ou plus
98%
67°F ou moins 98%
86°F ou plus 98%
74-75°F 40%
76-77°F 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
67°F ou moins
$0 Vol.
98%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
38%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
38%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
39%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
40%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
40%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
38%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
38%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
38%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
39%
86°F ou plus
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and high dew points near 75°F are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling across central Texas, supporting National Weather Service forecasts of overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 11. This pattern, driven by a strong Bermuda high, contrasts with the historical average low of 69°F and keeps probabilities for sub-68°F readings dependent on an unlikely frontal passage or model shift toward greater cloud cover and moisture. Elevated heat indices near 108°F further signal minimal temperature drops, though short-term ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around exact minimum thresholds. Updated model runs from NOAA and local offices will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southerly flow and high dew points near 75°F are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling across central Texas, supporting National Weather Service forecasts of overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 11. This pattern, driven by a strong Bermuda high, contrasts with the historical average low of 69°F and keeps probabilities for sub-68°F readings dependent on an unlikely frontal passage or model shift toward greater cloud cover and moisture. Elevated heat indices near 108°F further signal minimal temperature drops, though short-term ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around exact minimum thresholds. Updated model runs from NOAA and local offices will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southerly flow and high dew points near 75°F are limiting nocturnal radiative cooling across central Texas, supporting National Weather Service forecasts of overnight lows in the mid-70s for Austin on September 11. This pattern, driven by a strong Bermuda high, contrasts with the historical average low of 69°F and keeps probabilities for sub-68°F readings dependent on an unlikely frontal passage or model shift toward greater cloud cover and moisture. Elevated heat indices near 108°F further signal minimal temperature drops, though short-term ensemble spreads introduce uncertainty around exact minimum thresholds. Updated model runs from NOAA and local offices will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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