Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies monitoring the region points to stable high-pressure conditions and clear to partly cloudy skies over Busan, supporting efficient nighttime radiative cooling that aligns with an 18°C minimum on September 10. Current observations and ensemble forecasts show overnight temperatures settling near this threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the area where average September lows hover around 20°C but can dip lower under calm northerly flow. Trader positioning reflects this strong data alignment, with the 99.5% implied probability for 18°C indicating limited uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns that reduce cooling rates before the daily minimum is recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Busan le 10 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Busan le 10 septembre ?
18°C 100.0%
16°C 1.0%
17°C 1.0%
14°C ou moins <1%
$1,342 Vol.
$1,342 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Oui
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C ou plus
Non
18°C 100.0%
16°C 1.0%
17°C 1.0%
14°C ou moins <1%
$1,342 Vol.
$1,342 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
$70 Vol.
Non
15°C
$45 Vol.
Non
16°C
$72 Vol.
Non
17°C
$72 Vol.
Non
18°C
$117 Vol.
Oui
19°C
$216 Vol.
Non
20°C
$402 Vol.
Non
21°C
$157 Vol.
Non
22°C
$65 Vol.
Non
23°C
$50 Vol.
Non
24°C ou plus
$75 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies monitoring the region points to stable high-pressure conditions and clear to partly cloudy skies over Busan, supporting efficient nighttime radiative cooling that aligns with an 18°C minimum on September 10. Current observations and ensemble forecasts show overnight temperatures settling near this threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the area where average September lows hover around 20°C but can dip lower under calm northerly flow. Trader positioning reflects this strong data alignment, with the 99.5% implied probability for 18°C indicating limited uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns that reduce cooling rates before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$1,342Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies monitoring the region points to stable high-pressure conditions and clear to partly cloudy skies over Busan, supporting efficient nighttime radiative cooling that aligns with an 18°C minimum on September 10. Current observations and ensemble forecasts show overnight temperatures settling near this threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the area where average September lows hover around 20°C but can dip lower under calm northerly flow. Trader positioning reflects this strong data alignment, with the 99.5% implied probability for 18°C indicating limited uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns that reduce cooling rates before the daily minimum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,342Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent meteorological model consensus from agencies monitoring the region points to stable high-pressure conditions and clear to partly cloudy skies over Busan, supporting efficient nighttime radiative cooling that aligns with an 18°C minimum on September 10. Current observations and ensemble forecasts show overnight temperatures settling near this threshold, consistent with late-summer climatology for the area where average September lows hover around 20°C but can dip lower under calm northerly flow. Trader positioning reflects this strong data alignment, with the 99.5% implied probability for 18°C indicating limited uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require unexpected increases in cloud cover, stronger winds, or a shift in steering patterns that reduce cooling rates before the daily minimum is recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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