Recent official forecasts and observational trends point to a minimum temperature in Wuhan settling near 18–19°C on September 10, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A surge of cooler northerly air, reinforced by a surface high and clear skies favoring radiational cooling overnight, has suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows overnight lows stabilizing in this narrow band, with minor variations arising from exact wind speeds, humidity profiles, and urban heat-island effects. Traders are weighting real-time station data and updated model runs against historical early-September baselines, where similar cold-air intrusions have produced comparable minima. No major precipitation or cloud-cover shifts are expected to alter the outcome before midnight resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Wuhan le 10 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Wuhan le 10 septembre ?
19°C 99%
17°C 4%
16°C ou moins 2%
18°C 1.0%
$1,224 Vol.
$1,224 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Oui
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C ou plus
Non
19°C 99%
17°C 4%
16°C ou moins 2%
18°C 1.0%
$1,224 Vol.
$1,224 Vol.
10 sept. 2026
16°C ou moins
$35 Vol.
Non
17°C
$72 Vol.
Non
18°C
$26 Vol.
Non
19°C
$230 Vol.
Oui
20°C
$212 Vol.
Non
21°C
$308 Vol.
Non
22°C
$55 Vol.
Non
23°C
$35 Vol.
Non
24°C
$60 Vol.
Non
25°C
$106 Vol.
Non
26°C ou plus
$85 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and observational trends point to a minimum temperature in Wuhan settling near 18–19°C on September 10, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A surge of cooler northerly air, reinforced by a surface high and clear skies favoring radiational cooling overnight, has suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows overnight lows stabilizing in this narrow band, with minor variations arising from exact wind speeds, humidity profiles, and urban heat-island effects. Traders are weighting real-time station data and updated model runs against historical early-September baselines, where similar cold-air intrusions have produced comparable minima. No major precipitation or cloud-cover shifts are expected to alter the outcome before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$1,224Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and observational trends point to a minimum temperature in Wuhan settling near 18–19°C on September 10, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A surge of cooler northerly air, reinforced by a surface high and clear skies favoring radiational cooling overnight, has suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows overnight lows stabilizing in this narrow band, with minor variations arising from exact wind speeds, humidity profiles, and urban heat-island effects. Traders are weighting real-time station data and updated model runs against historical early-September baselines, where similar cold-air intrusions have produced comparable minima. No major precipitation or cloud-cover shifts are expected to alter the outcome before midnight resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,224Date de fin
10 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Recent official forecasts and observational trends point to a minimum temperature in Wuhan settling near 18–19°C on September 10, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. A surge of cooler northerly air, reinforced by a surface high and clear skies favoring radiational cooling overnight, has suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration shows overnight lows stabilizing in this narrow band, with minor variations arising from exact wind speeds, humidity profiles, and urban heat-island effects. Traders are weighting real-time station data and updated model runs against historical early-September baselines, where similar cold-air intrusions have produced comparable minima. No major precipitation or cloud-cover shifts are expected to alter the outcome before midnight resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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