Recent forecast guidance from Environment Canada and global models indicates Toronto’s September 9 overnight low will likely settle near 19 °C amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly flow advecting warmer, humid air. This keeps minimum temperatures several degrees above the 15 °C climatological average for the date. Market-implied odds cluster around 18–19 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest, yet the 24 °C-or-higher outcome retains meaningful probability if daytime heat and moisture delay radiative cooling more than expected. Key variables differentiating outcomes include the precise timing of any clearing, wind speeds overnight, and how much additional warming arrives with the storm system; updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow these ranges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Toronto le 9 septembre ?
24°C ou plus 95%
19°C 36%
18°C 32%
20°C 24%
14°C ou moins
10%
15°C
17%
16°C
21%
17°C
21%
18°C
32%
19°C
36%
20°C
24%
21°C
22%
22°C
15%
23°C
19%
24°C ou plus
95%
24°C ou plus 95%
19°C 36%
18°C 32%
20°C 24%
14°C ou moins
10%
15°C
17%
16°C
21%
17°C
21%
18°C
32%
19°C
36%
20°C
24%
21°C
22%
22°C
15%
23°C
19%
24°C ou plus
95%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from Environment Canada and global models indicates Toronto’s September 9 overnight low will likely settle near 19 °C amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly flow advecting warmer, humid air. This keeps minimum temperatures several degrees above the 15 °C climatological average for the date. Market-implied odds cluster around 18–19 °C because ensemble spreads remain modest, yet the 24 °C-or-higher outcome retains meaningful probability if daytime heat and moisture delay radiative cooling more than expected. Key variables differentiating outcomes include the precise timing of any clearing, wind speeds overnight, and how much additional warming arrives with the storm system; updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will narrow these ranges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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