Recent National Weather Service observations and forecast guidance for Los Angeles show daily highs near 76–78°F through early September, consistent with the climatological average high of 76.5°F for September 6. Marine layer influence and a 50% chance of showers or thunderstorms on the 6th are expected to limit daytime heating and prevent significant warming, keeping maximum temperatures centered around 78°F at official stations such as LAX. Model consensus supports this range without strong offshore flow or heat advection that could push readings into the low 80s. Market-implied probabilities, with 78–79°F as the clear leader, reflect trader assessment of these stable coastal conditions and the low likelihood of extremes given the current pattern.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Los Angeles le 6 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Los Angeles le 6 septembre ?
78-79°F 46%
76-77°F 22%
80-81°F 20%
82-83°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
67°F ou moins
1%
68-69°F
2%
70-71°F
2%
72-73 °F
3%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
46%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
5%
84-85 °F
1%
86°F ou plus
1%
78-79°F 46%
76-77°F 22%
80-81°F 20%
82-83°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
6 sept. 2026
67°F ou moins
$377 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$100 Vol.
2%
70-71°F
$100 Vol.
2%
72-73 °F
$55 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$77 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$773 Vol.
22%
78-79°F
$837 Vol.
46%
80-81°F
$346 Vol.
20%
82-83°F
$27 Vol.
5%
84-85 °F
$546 Vol.
1%
86°F ou plus
$280 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service observations and forecast guidance for Los Angeles show daily highs near 76–78°F through early September, consistent with the climatological average high of 76.5°F for September 6. Marine layer influence and a 50% chance of showers or thunderstorms on the 6th are expected to limit daytime heating and prevent significant warming, keeping maximum temperatures centered around 78°F at official stations such as LAX. Model consensus supports this range without strong offshore flow or heat advection that could push readings into the low 80s. Market-implied probabilities, with 78–79°F as the clear leader, reflect trader assessment of these stable coastal conditions and the low likelihood of extremes given the current pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,518Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service observations and forecast guidance for Los Angeles show daily highs near 76–78°F through early September, consistent with the climatological average high of 76.5°F for September 6. Marine layer influence and a 50% chance of showers or thunderstorms on the 6th are expected to limit daytime heating and prevent significant warming, keeping maximum temperatures centered around 78°F at official stations such as LAX. Model consensus supports this range without strong offshore flow or heat advection that could push readings into the low 80s. Market-implied probabilities, with 78–79°F as the clear leader, reflect trader assessment of these stable coastal conditions and the low likelihood of extremes given the current pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,518Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 7:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service observations and forecast guidance for Los Angeles show daily highs near 76–78°F through early September, consistent with the climatological average high of 76.5°F for September 6. Marine layer influence and a 50% chance of showers or thunderstorms on the 6th are expected to limit daytime heating and prevent significant warming, keeping maximum temperatures centered around 78°F at official stations such as LAX. Model consensus supports this range without strong offshore flow or heat advection that could push readings into the low 80s. Market-implied probabilities, with 78–79°F as the clear leader, reflect trader assessment of these stable coastal conditions and the low likelihood of extremes given the current pattern.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
La température maximale à Los Angeles sera-t-elle comprise entre 76 et 77°F le 4 septembre ?
100%
Oui
La température maximale à Los Angeles sera-t-elle comprise entre 80 et 81 °F le 5 septembre ?
44%
Oui
La température la plus basse à Los Angeles sera-t-elle comprise entre 72 et 73°F le 6 septembre ?
30%
Oui
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