The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on a 19°C high for São Paulo on September 8 stems from official post-event observations confirming that exact maximum temperature at primary monitoring stations. Brazilian meteorological data, consistent with typical early-spring conditions under stable high-pressure influence, aligned with the recorded peak after daytime heating without significant cloud cover or frontal activity. This outcome matches historical September baselines around 18–22°C while ruling out outliers from transient weather systems. Minor uncertainty could arise only from rare revisions in station data or alternative measurement protocols, though such adjustments remain improbable given multiple verification sources.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 8 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 8 septembre ?
19°C 100.0%
15°C ou moins <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$23,577 Vol.
$23,577 Vol.
8 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Oui
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C ou plus
Non
19°C 100.0%
15°C ou moins <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$23,577 Vol.
$23,577 Vol.
8 sept. 2026
15°C ou moins
$1,491 Vol.
Non
16°C
$1,573 Vol.
Non
17°C
$1,278 Vol.
Non
18°C
$4,262 Vol.
Non
19°C
$3,635 Vol.
Oui
20°C
$3,473 Vol.
Non
21°C
$2,288 Vol.
Non
22°C
$2,683 Vol.
Non
23°C
$1,052 Vol.
Non
24°C
$412 Vol.
Non
25°C ou plus
$1,430 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on a 19°C high for São Paulo on September 8 stems from official post-event observations confirming that exact maximum temperature at primary monitoring stations. Brazilian meteorological data, consistent with typical early-spring conditions under stable high-pressure influence, aligned with the recorded peak after daytime heating without significant cloud cover or frontal activity. This outcome matches historical September baselines around 18–22°C while ruling out outliers from transient weather systems. Minor uncertainty could arise only from rare revisions in station data or alternative measurement protocols, though such adjustments remain improbable given multiple verification sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 6, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volume
$23,577Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on a 19°C high for São Paulo on September 8 stems from official post-event observations confirming that exact maximum temperature at primary monitoring stations. Brazilian meteorological data, consistent with typical early-spring conditions under stable high-pressure influence, aligned with the recorded peak after daytime heating without significant cloud cover or frontal activity. This outcome matches historical September baselines around 18–22°C while ruling out outliers from transient weather systems. Minor uncertainty could arise only from rare revisions in station data or alternative measurement protocols, though such adjustments remain improbable given multiple verification sources.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,577Date de fin
8 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 6, 2026, 8:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The market's overwhelming 100% implied probability on a 19°C high for São Paulo on September 8 stems from official post-event observations confirming that exact maximum temperature at primary monitoring stations. Brazilian meteorological data, consistent with typical early-spring conditions under stable high-pressure influence, aligned with the recorded peak after daytime heating without significant cloud cover or frontal activity. This outcome matches historical September baselines around 18–22°C while ruling out outliers from transient weather systems. Minor uncertainty could arise only from rare revisions in station data or alternative measurement protocols, though such adjustments remain improbable given multiple verification sources.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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