Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Chongqing's overnight minimum on September 12 will settle near 21°C, supported by light northwest winds, moderate humidity around 65-80%, and partly cloudy conditions limiting strong radiative cooling. This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where average lows range 20-23°C absent major cold-air intrusions or heavy rain. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant frontal passages expected to drive sharper drops toward 17°C or below. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns and real-time station observations heavily, producing the elevated implied probability for 21°C while assigning moderate odds to nearby values amid minor forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Chongqing le 12 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Chongqing le 12 septembre ?
21°C 99.5%
17°C ou moins 20%
18°C 20%
19°C 20%
$593 Vol.
$593 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
17°C ou moins
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Oui
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C ou plus
Non
21°C 99.5%
17°C ou moins 20%
18°C 20%
19°C 20%
$593 Vol.
$593 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
17°C ou moins
$35 Vol.
Non
18°C
$55 Vol.
Non
19°C
$53 Vol.
Non
20°C
$36 Vol.
Non
21°C
$264 Vol.
Oui
22°C
$25 Vol.
Non
23°C
$25 Vol.
Non
24°C
$25 Vol.
Non
25°C
$25 Vol.
Non
26°C
$25 Vol.
Non
27°C ou plus
$25 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Chongqing's overnight minimum on September 12 will settle near 21°C, supported by light northwest winds, moderate humidity around 65-80%, and partly cloudy conditions limiting strong radiative cooling. This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where average lows range 20-23°C absent major cold-air intrusions or heavy rain. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant frontal passages expected to drive sharper drops toward 17°C or below. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns and real-time station observations heavily, producing the elevated implied probability for 21°C while assigning moderate odds to nearby values amid minor forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$593Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Chongqing's overnight minimum on September 12 will settle near 21°C, supported by light northwest winds, moderate humidity around 65-80%, and partly cloudy conditions limiting strong radiative cooling. This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where average lows range 20-23°C absent major cold-air intrusions or heavy rain. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant frontal passages expected to drive sharper drops toward 17°C or below. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns and real-time station observations heavily, producing the elevated implied probability for 21°C while assigning moderate odds to nearby values amid minor forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$593Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate Chongqing's overnight minimum on September 12 will settle near 21°C, supported by light northwest winds, moderate humidity around 65-80%, and partly cloudy conditions limiting strong radiative cooling. This aligns with typical early-September climatology, where average lows range 20-23°C absent major cold-air intrusions or heavy rain. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with no significant frontal passages expected to drive sharper drops toward 17°C or below. Traders appear to weigh these stable atmospheric patterns and real-time station observations heavily, producing the elevated implied probability for 21°C while assigning moderate odds to nearby values amid minor forecast uncertainty.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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