Clear skies and moderate northeast winds under high pressure have kept Istanbul's overnight temperatures stable near 20°C on September 12, with dew points around 16°C limiting further radiative cooling. Official forecasts from regional models show the daily minimum settling between 18–21°C depending on the precise timing of the lowest reading and station location, creating tight market-implied odds clustered around those values. Historical September averages near 17°C provide context, yet current conditions lack strong fronts or anomalies that would push extremes. Traders weigh the final official minimum against minor model spread and measurement thresholds, with new station data expected to resolve the narrow range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Istanbul le 12 septembre ?
La température la plus basse à Istanbul le 12 septembre ?
18°C 94%
21°C 53%
19°C 1.0%
14°C ou moins <1%
$445 Vol.
$445 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
Non
15°C
Non
16°C
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Oui
22 °C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C ou plus
Non
18°C 94%
21°C 53%
19°C 1.0%
14°C ou moins <1%
$445 Vol.
$445 Vol.
12 sept. 2026
14°C ou moins
$15 Vol.
Non
15°C
$15 Vol.
Non
16°C
$15 Vol.
Non
17°C
$150 Vol.
Non
18°C
$135 Vol.
Non
19°C
$67 Vol.
Non
20°C
$15 Vol.
Non
21°C
$3 Vol.
Oui
22 °C
$15 Vol.
Non
23°C
$0 Vol.
Non
24°C ou plus
$15 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and moderate northeast winds under high pressure have kept Istanbul's overnight temperatures stable near 20°C on September 12, with dew points around 16°C limiting further radiative cooling. Official forecasts from regional models show the daily minimum settling between 18–21°C depending on the precise timing of the lowest reading and station location, creating tight market-implied odds clustered around those values. Historical September averages near 17°C provide context, yet current conditions lack strong fronts or anomalies that would push extremes. Traders weigh the final official minimum against minor model spread and measurement thresholds, with new station data expected to resolve the narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$445Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and moderate northeast winds under high pressure have kept Istanbul's overnight temperatures stable near 20°C on September 12, with dew points around 16°C limiting further radiative cooling. Official forecasts from regional models show the daily minimum settling between 18–21°C depending on the precise timing of the lowest reading and station location, creating tight market-implied odds clustered around those values. Historical September averages near 17°C provide context, yet current conditions lack strong fronts or anomalies that would push extremes. Traders weigh the final official minimum against minor model spread and measurement thresholds, with new station data expected to resolve the narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$445Date de fin
12 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Clear skies and moderate northeast winds under high pressure have kept Istanbul's overnight temperatures stable near 20°C on September 12, with dew points around 16°C limiting further radiative cooling. Official forecasts from regional models show the daily minimum settling between 18–21°C depending on the precise timing of the lowest reading and station location, creating tight market-implied odds clustered around those values. Historical September averages near 17°C provide context, yet current conditions lack strong fronts or anomalies that would push extremes. Traders weigh the final official minimum against minor model spread and measurement thresholds, with new station data expected to resolve the narrow range.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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