Trader consensus on Polymarket splits evenly between 32°C and 37°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 16, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-term forecasts during the transition from dry hot season to rainy season, as outlined in NiMet's 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction of above-normal temperatures and early rainfall onset. Current global model runs and sites like AccuWeather project daytime highs around 32–34°C under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds and high humidity suppressing peaks, yet persistent clear skies or urban heat island effects in Lagos could drive outliers to 37°C, exceeding historical April averages of 32°C (rarely above 35°C). NiMet's daily bulletin update on April 15 and model refreshes will clarify thunderstorm risks capping intensity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Lagos on April 16?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 16?
35°C 43%
34°C 42%
31°C 26%
32°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
28°C or below
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
9%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
13%
34°C
42%
35°C
43%
36°C
26%
37°C
8%
38°C or higher
2%
35°C 43%
34°C 42%
31°C 26%
32°C 26%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
28°C or below
$194 Vol.
2%
29°C
$189 Vol.
1%
30°C
$2 Vol.
9%
31°C
$0 Vol.
26%
32°C
$0 Vol.
26%
33°C
$0 Vol.
13%
34°C
$0 Vol.
42%
35°C
$19 Vol.
43%
36°C
$0 Vol.
26%
37°C
$0 Vol.
8%
38°C or higher
$194 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket splits evenly between 32°C and 37°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 16, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-term forecasts during the transition from dry hot season to rainy season, as outlined in NiMet's 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction of above-normal temperatures and early rainfall onset. Current global model runs and sites like AccuWeather project daytime highs around 32–34°C under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds and high humidity suppressing peaks, yet persistent clear skies or urban heat island effects in Lagos could drive outliers to 37°C, exceeding historical April averages of 32°C (rarely above 35°C). NiMet's daily bulletin update on April 15 and model refreshes will clarify thunderstorm risks capping intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Volume
$598Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket splits evenly between 32°C and 37°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 16, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-term forecasts during the transition from dry hot season to rainy season, as outlined in NiMet's 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction of above-normal temperatures and early rainfall onset. Current global model runs and sites like AccuWeather project daytime highs around 32–34°C under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds and high humidity suppressing peaks, yet persistent clear skies or urban heat island effects in Lagos could drive outliers to 37°C, exceeding historical April averages of 32°C (rarely above 35°C). NiMet's daily bulletin update on April 15 and model refreshes will clarify thunderstorm risks capping intensity.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$598Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:23 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket splits evenly between 32°C and 37°C for Lagos's highest temperature on April 16, reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-term forecasts during the transition from dry hot season to rainy season, as outlined in NiMet's 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction of above-normal temperatures and early rainfall onset. Current global model runs and sites like AccuWeather project daytime highs around 32–34°C under partly cloudy skies with southwest winds and high humidity suppressing peaks, yet persistent clear skies or urban heat island effects in Lagos could drive outliers to 37°C, exceeding historical April averages of 32°C (rarely above 35°C). NiMet's daily bulletin update on April 15 and model refreshes will clarify thunderstorm risks capping intensity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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