Ongoing heatwave conditions across Uttar Pradesh, with recent observed highs of 43–45°C and IMD warnings for isolated heatwave days through late June, anchor trader focus on the 40–42°C range for Lucknow’s June 25 maximum. Short-range model guidance shows modest day-to-day variability driven by possible increases in cloud cover or early monsoon moisture ahead of the typical early-July onset, while climatological baselines place late-June averages near 39–40°C. Forecast spreads from sources like AccuWeather (around 39°C) versus higher estimates near 45°C highlight the key uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and steering patterns that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. With resolution only two days away, updates from the India Meteorological Department’s next model runs will likely tighten the distribution around the current market-implied mode near 41°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 25?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 25?
39°C 100.0%
37°C or below <1%
38°C <1%
40°C <1%
$61,275 Vol.
$61,275 Vol.
25 juin 2026
37°C or below
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
37°C or below <1%
38°C <1%
40°C <1%
$61,275 Vol.
$61,275 Vol.
25 juin 2026
37°C or below
$9,753 Vol.
No
38°C
$4,644 Vol.
No
39°C
$9,928 Vol.
Yes
40°C
$12,995 Vol.
No
41°C
$7,086 Vol.
No
42°C
$8,822 Vol.
No
43°C
$6,497 Vol.
No
44°C
$483 Vol.
No
45°C
$276 Vol.
No
46°C
$428 Vol.
No
47°C or higher
$363 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across Uttar Pradesh, with recent observed highs of 43–45°C and IMD warnings for isolated heatwave days through late June, anchor trader focus on the 40–42°C range for Lucknow’s June 25 maximum. Short-range model guidance shows modest day-to-day variability driven by possible increases in cloud cover or early monsoon moisture ahead of the typical early-July onset, while climatological baselines place late-June averages near 39–40°C. Forecast spreads from sources like AccuWeather (around 39°C) versus higher estimates near 45°C highlight the key uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and steering patterns that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. With resolution only two days away, updates from the India Meteorological Department’s next model runs will likely tighten the distribution around the current market-implied mode near 41°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 23, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$61,275Date de fin
25 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 23, 2026, 1:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing heatwave conditions across Uttar Pradesh, with recent observed highs of 43–45°C and IMD warnings for isolated heatwave days through late June, anchor trader focus on the 40–42°C range for Lucknow’s June 25 maximum. Short-range model guidance shows modest day-to-day variability driven by possible increases in cloud cover or early monsoon moisture ahead of the typical early-July onset, while climatological baselines place late-June averages near 39–40°C. Forecast spreads from sources like AccuWeather (around 39°C) versus higher estimates near 45°C highlight the key uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and steering patterns that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. With resolution only two days away, updates from the India Meteorological Department’s next model runs will likely tighten the distribution around the current market-implied mode near 41°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61,275Date de fin
25 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 23, 2026, 1:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Ongoing heatwave conditions across Uttar Pradesh, with recent observed highs of 43–45°C and IMD warnings for isolated heatwave days through late June, anchor trader focus on the 40–42°C range for Lucknow’s June 25 maximum. Short-range model guidance shows modest day-to-day variability driven by possible increases in cloud cover or early monsoon moisture ahead of the typical early-July onset, while climatological baselines place late-June averages near 39–40°C. Forecast spreads from sources like AccuWeather (around 39°C) versus higher estimates near 45°C highlight the key uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and steering patterns that could shift the peak by 1–2°C. With resolution only two days away, updates from the India Meteorological Department’s next model runs will likely tighten the distribution around the current market-implied mode near 41°C.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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