Official measurements from Spain’s meteorological agency confirm Madrid reached a maximum of exactly 35 °C on June 1, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 %. With the date now past, traders have aligned on verified observational data rather than forecasts, consistent with historical early-June maxima in the city and the absence of anomalous heat-wave conditions. Minor probabilities on adjacent thresholds reflect only residual uncertainty over final quality-controlled readings or minor station variations. New data releases capable of shifting the outcome are improbable at this stage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Madrid on June 1?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 1?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$67,276 Vol.
$67,276 Vol.
1 juin 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$67,276 Vol.
$67,276 Vol.
1 juin 2026
29°C or below
$845 Vol.
No
30°C
$992 Vol.
No
31°C
$2,686 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,868 Vol.
No
33°C
$15,019 Vol.
No
34°C
$11,283 Vol.
No
35°C
$11,893 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$10,326 Vol.
No
37°C
$9,326 Vol.
No
38°C
$1,199 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$837 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from Spain’s meteorological agency confirm Madrid reached a maximum of exactly 35 °C on June 1, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 %. With the date now past, traders have aligned on verified observational data rather than forecasts, consistent with historical early-June maxima in the city and the absence of anomalous heat-wave conditions. Minor probabilities on adjacent thresholds reflect only residual uncertainty over final quality-controlled readings or minor station variations. New data releases capable of shifting the outcome are improbable at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : May 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$67,276Date de fin
1 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from Spain’s meteorological agency confirm Madrid reached a maximum of exactly 35 °C on June 1, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 %. With the date now past, traders have aligned on verified observational data rather than forecasts, consistent with historical early-June maxima in the city and the absence of anomalous heat-wave conditions. Minor probabilities on adjacent thresholds reflect only residual uncertainty over final quality-controlled readings or minor station variations. New data releases capable of shifting the outcome are improbable at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$67,276Date de fin
1 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 30, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official measurements from Spain’s meteorological agency confirm Madrid reached a maximum of exactly 35 °C on June 1, driving the market-implied probability for that outcome to 100 %. With the date now past, traders have aligned on verified observational data rather than forecasts, consistent with historical early-June maxima in the city and the absence of anomalous heat-wave conditions. Minor probabilities on adjacent thresholds reflect only residual uncertainty over final quality-controlled readings or minor station variations. New data releases capable of shifting the outcome are improbable at this stage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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