**Forecast consensus from major meteorological agencies points to a daytime maximum of 34°C in Madrid today, June 13, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability.** Clear skies, light easterly winds, and subsiding air under a stable high-pressure ridge have allowed strong solar heating across the central Iberian Plateau, pushing temperatures well above the June climatological average of roughly 29–30°C. Official model runs from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts align on peak readings near 33–34°C between 14:00–16:00 local time, consistent with recent observations at Madrid-Barajas and Retiro stations. The outcome could shift only if an unforecast mesoscale feature—such as rapid afternoon cloud build-up or a sharper wind change—caps the maximum below 34°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Madrid on June 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 13?
34°C 100.0%
27°C ou moins <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$90,466 Vol.
$90,466 Vol.
13 juin 2026
27°C ou moins
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Non
31°C
Non
32°C
Non
33°C
Non
34°C
Oui
35°C
Non
36°C
Non
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C ou moins <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$90,466 Vol.
$90,466 Vol.
13 juin 2026
27°C ou moins
$507 Vol.
Non
28°C
$1,472 Vol.
Non
29°C
$1,504 Vol.
Non
30°C
$2,242 Vol.
Non
31°C
$1,354 Vol.
Non
32°C
$9,543 Vol.
Non
33°C
$27,211 Vol.
Non
34°C
$12,937 Vol.
Oui
35°C
$14,760 Vol.
Non
36°C
$13,058 Vol.
Non
37°C or higher
$5,879 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from major meteorological agencies points to a daytime maximum of 34°C in Madrid today, June 13, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability.** Clear skies, light easterly winds, and subsiding air under a stable high-pressure ridge have allowed strong solar heating across the central Iberian Plateau, pushing temperatures well above the June climatological average of roughly 29–30°C. Official model runs from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts align on peak readings near 33–34°C between 14:00–16:00 local time, consistent with recent observations at Madrid-Barajas and Retiro stations.
The outcome could shift only if an unforecast mesoscale feature—such as rapid afternoon cloud build-up or a sharper wind change—caps the maximum below 34°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$90,466Date de fin
13 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from major meteorological agencies points to a daytime maximum of 34°C in Madrid today, June 13, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability.** Clear skies, light easterly winds, and subsiding air under a stable high-pressure ridge have allowed strong solar heating across the central Iberian Plateau, pushing temperatures well above the June climatological average of roughly 29–30°C. Official model runs from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts align on peak readings near 33–34°C between 14:00–16:00 local time, consistent with recent observations at Madrid-Barajas and Retiro stations.
The outcome could shift only if an unforecast mesoscale feature—such as rapid afternoon cloud build-up or a sharper wind change—caps the maximum below 34°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$90,466Date de fin
13 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Forecast consensus from major meteorological agencies points to a daytime maximum of 34°C in Madrid today, June 13, 2026, driving the 100% market-implied probability.** Clear skies, light easterly winds, and subsiding air under a stable high-pressure ridge have allowed strong solar heating across the central Iberian Plateau, pushing temperatures well above the June climatological average of roughly 29–30°C. Official model runs from the Spanish State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts align on peak readings near 33–34°C between 14:00–16:00 local time, consistent with recent observations at Madrid-Barajas and Retiro stations. The outcome could shift only if an unforecast mesoscale feature—such as rapid afternoon cloud build-up or a sharper wind change—caps the maximum below 34°C, though current guidance shows low probability of such deviation before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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