PAGASA observations at Science Garden station in Quezon City recorded Metro Manila's air temperature peaking at 36.2°C around 3 p.m. on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 36°C daily high, as measured to the nearest whole degree. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 35-36°C highs under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and low rain chances (20-30%), typical of the dry-hot season's high solar insolation and minimum humidity near 46%. Evening cooldown to 30-31°C further solidifies positioning, with diurnal cycles precluding later peaks. Realistic challenges include a measurement revision at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station (market resolution source) or anomalous late-afternoon surge, though model consensus and historical May precedents (33-38°C) deem these unlikely. Final daily data expected by midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Manila on May 10?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 10?
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$30,298 Vol.
$30,298 Vol.
10 mai 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$30,298 Vol.
$30,298 Vol.
10 mai 2026
29°C or below
$1,092 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,004 Vol.
No
31°C
$755 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,793 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,372 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,170 Vol.
No
35°C
$4,157 Vol.
No
36°C
$5,908 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$2,874 Vol.
No
38°C
$2,423 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$2,751 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations at Science Garden station in Quezon City recorded Metro Manila's air temperature peaking at 36.2°C around 3 p.m. on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 36°C daily high, as measured to the nearest whole degree. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 35-36°C highs under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and low rain chances (20-30%), typical of the dry-hot season's high solar insolation and minimum humidity near 46%. Evening cooldown to 30-31°C further solidifies positioning, with diurnal cycles precluding later peaks. Realistic challenges include a measurement revision at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station (market resolution source) or anomalous late-afternoon surge, though model consensus and historical May precedents (33-38°C) deem these unlikely. Final daily data expected by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 8, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Volume
$30,298Date de fin
10 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 8, 2026, 12:35 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations at Science Garden station in Quezon City recorded Metro Manila's air temperature peaking at 36.2°C around 3 p.m. on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 36°C daily high, as measured to the nearest whole degree. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 35-36°C highs under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and low rain chances (20-30%), typical of the dry-hot season's high solar insolation and minimum humidity near 46%. Evening cooldown to 30-31°C further solidifies positioning, with diurnal cycles precluding later peaks. Realistic challenges include a measurement revision at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station (market resolution source) or anomalous late-afternoon surge, though model consensus and historical May precedents (33-38°C) deem these unlikely. Final daily data expected by midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$30,298Date de fin
10 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 8, 2026, 12:35 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
PAGASA observations at Science Garden station in Quezon City recorded Metro Manila's air temperature peaking at 36.2°C around 3 p.m. on May 10, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 36°C daily high, as measured to the nearest whole degree. This aligns with extended forecasts projecting 35-36°C highs under partly cloudy skies, easterly winds, and low rain chances (20-30%), typical of the dry-hot season's high solar insolation and minimum humidity near 46%. Evening cooldown to 30-31°C further solidifies positioning, with diurnal cycles precluding later peaks. Realistic challenges include a measurement revision at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport station (market resolution source) or anomalous late-afternoon surge, though model consensus and historical May precedents (33-38°C) deem these unlikely. Final daily data expected by midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes