Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) data—confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 12, 2026, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from Frente Frío No. 50's arrival, ushering cooler mid-level air, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limited daytime solar heating after an early peak, despite Mexico City's climatological May average highs near 26°C. METAR reports captured temperatures topping at 25°C midday before convective activity intensified. Realistic challenges include final quality-controlled SMN revisions uncovering a sensor anomaly pushing to 26°C+, though such discrepancies are rare post-preliminary validation; traders await the daily climate bulletin for closure.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 12?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 12?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$78,614 Vol.
$78,614 Vol.
12 mai 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$78,614 Vol.
$78,614 Vol.
12 mai 2026
16°C or below
$4,625 Vol.
No
17°C
$8,151 Vol.
No
18°C
$2,942 Vol.
No
19°C
$6,791 Vol.
No
20°C
$7,558 Vol.
No
21°C
$7,615 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,751 Vol.
No
23°C
$6,268 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,709 Vol.
No
25°C
$11,611 Vol.
Yes
26°C or higher
$11,594 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) data—confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 12, 2026, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from Frente Frío No. 50's arrival, ushering cooler mid-level air, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limited daytime solar heating after an early peak, despite Mexico City's climatological May average highs near 26°C. METAR reports captured temperatures topping at 25°C midday before convective activity intensified. Realistic challenges include final quality-controlled SMN revisions uncovering a sensor anomaly pushing to 26°C+, though such discrepancies are rare post-preliminary validation; traders await the daily climate bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volume
$78,614Date de fin
12 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) data—confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 12, 2026, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from Frente Frío No. 50's arrival, ushering cooler mid-level air, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limited daytime solar heating after an early peak, despite Mexico City's climatological May average highs near 26°C. METAR reports captured temperatures topping at 25°C midday before convective activity intensified. Realistic challenges include final quality-controlled SMN revisions uncovering a sensor anomaly pushing to 26°C+, though such discrepancies are rare post-preliminary validation; traders await the daily climate bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$78,614Date de fin
12 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official observations from Benito Juárez International Airport (MMMX)—the market's resolution source via Wunderground and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) data—confirm a maximum temperature of 25°C on May 12, 2026, driving near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability. This positioning stems from Frente Frío No. 50's arrival, ushering cooler mid-level air, extensive cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms that limited daytime solar heating after an early peak, despite Mexico City's climatological May average highs near 26°C. METAR reports captured temperatures topping at 25°C midday before convective activity intensified. Realistic challenges include final quality-controlled SMN revisions uncovering a sensor anomaly pushing to 26°C+, though such discrepancies are rare post-preliminary validation; traders await the daily climate bulletin for closure.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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