**Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to Miami International Airport highs in the low 90s on August 21, 2026, explaining why the 92–93°F bin leads with 47.5% implied probability and 94–95°F follows at 31.0%.** After a record-tying 100°F reading on August 18 amid a strong heat wave with minimal cloud cover and light winds, conditions are moderating. Typical mid-August maxima average near 89–90°F, but persistent warmth and high humidity keep values elevated. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorm development—common in South Florida’s tropical moisture regime—should cap extreme heating while still allowing peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Higher bins (96°F+) carry low single-digit odds because steering patterns and moisture limit further intensification, while sub-90°F outcomes remain unlikely given the warm boundary-layer air mass. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and official NWS point forecasts heavily, as these directly inform the resolution criteria at the primary Miami station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Miami le 21 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Miami le 21 août ?
92-93°F 48%
94-95°F 31%
90-91°F 14%
96-97°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
14%
92-93°F
48%
94-95°F
31%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 48%
94-95°F 31%
90-91°F 14%
96-97°F 5%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
21 août 2026
85°F or below
$201 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$113 Vol.
2%
88-89°F
$167 Vol.
4%
90-91°F
$358 Vol.
14%
92-93°F
$359 Vol.
48%
94-95°F
$363 Vol.
31%
96-97°F
$33 Vol.
5%
98-99°F
$132 Vol.
2%
100-101°F
$52 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$339 Vol.
<1%
104°F or higher
$283 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to Miami International Airport highs in the low 90s on August 21, 2026, explaining why the 92–93°F bin leads with 47.5% implied probability and 94–95°F follows at 31.0%.**
After a record-tying 100°F reading on August 18 amid a strong heat wave with minimal cloud cover and light winds, conditions are moderating. Typical mid-August maxima average near 89–90°F, but persistent warmth and high humidity keep values elevated. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorm development—common in South Florida’s tropical moisture regime—should cap extreme heating while still allowing peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Higher bins (96°F+) carry low single-digit odds because steering patterns and moisture limit further intensification, while sub-90°F outcomes remain unlikely given the warm boundary-layer air mass. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and official NWS point forecasts heavily, as these directly inform the resolution criteria at the primary Miami station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$2,400Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to Miami International Airport highs in the low 90s on August 21, 2026, explaining why the 92–93°F bin leads with 47.5% implied probability and 94–95°F follows at 31.0%.**
After a record-tying 100°F reading on August 18 amid a strong heat wave with minimal cloud cover and light winds, conditions are moderating. Typical mid-August maxima average near 89–90°F, but persistent warmth and high humidity keep values elevated. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorm development—common in South Florida’s tropical moisture regime—should cap extreme heating while still allowing peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Higher bins (96°F+) carry low single-digit odds because steering patterns and moisture limit further intensification, while sub-90°F outcomes remain unlikely given the warm boundary-layer air mass. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and official NWS point forecasts heavily, as these directly inform the resolution criteria at the primary Miami station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,400Date de fin
21 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 19, 2026, 9:56 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to Miami International Airport highs in the low 90s on August 21, 2026, explaining why the 92–93°F bin leads with 47.5% implied probability and 94–95°F follows at 31.0%.** After a record-tying 100°F reading on August 18 amid a strong heat wave with minimal cloud cover and light winds, conditions are moderating. Typical mid-August maxima average near 89–90°F, but persistent warmth and high humidity keep values elevated. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence and scattered thunderstorm development—common in South Florida’s tropical moisture regime—should cap extreme heating while still allowing peaks in the low-to-mid 90s. Higher bins (96°F+) carry low single-digit odds because steering patterns and moisture limit further intensification, while sub-90°F outcomes remain unlikely given the warm boundary-layer air mass. Traders are weighting the latest short-range model runs and official NWS point forecasts heavily, as these directly inform the resolution criteria at the primary Miami station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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