Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models drive the tight race in market-implied odds for Munich's highest temperature on April 18, with 20°C leading at 36.5%, 21°C at 29.0%, and 19°C at 23.0%, capturing trader consensus amid a 3-4°C spread in projections. DWD anticipates a late-afternoon peak near 22°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge and ample sunshine, while AccuWeather sees 18°C with intervals of clouds limiting solar heating. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing from light winds, and urban heat effects in Munich, all introducing uncertainty typical of spring transitional patterns where daily highs average 13°C but vary widely. Hourly DWD updates and morning observations on April 18 will likely tip the balance before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 18 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Munich le 18 avril ?
20°C 36%
21°C 29%
19°C 25%
22°C 8.5%
NOUVEAU
$29,116 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$29,116 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
25%
20°C
36%
21°C
29%
22°C
9%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
2%
20°C 36%
21°C 29%
19°C 25%
22°C 8.5%
NOUVEAU
$29,116 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$29,116 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
14°C or below
$2,550 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$8,583 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$2,801 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,888 Vol.
1%
18°C
$2,661 Vol.
2%
19°C
$1,336 Vol.
25%
20°C
$1,154 Vol.
36%
21°C
$1,236 Vol.
29%
22°C
$2,915 Vol.
9%
23°C
$2,305 Vol.
2%
24°C or higher
$1,881 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models drive the tight race in market-implied odds for Munich's highest temperature on April 18, with 20°C leading at 36.5%, 21°C at 29.0%, and 19°C at 23.0%, capturing trader consensus amid a 3-4°C spread in projections. DWD anticipates a late-afternoon peak near 22°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge and ample sunshine, while AccuWeather sees 18°C with intervals of clouds limiting solar heating. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing from light winds, and urban heat effects in Munich, all introducing uncertainty typical of spring transitional patterns where daily highs average 13°C but vary widely. Hourly DWD updates and morning observations on April 18 will likely tip the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$29,116Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models drive the tight race in market-implied odds for Munich's highest temperature on April 18, with 20°C leading at 36.5%, 21°C at 29.0%, and 19°C at 23.0%, capturing trader consensus amid a 3-4°C spread in projections. DWD anticipates a late-afternoon peak near 22°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge and ample sunshine, while AccuWeather sees 18°C with intervals of clouds limiting solar heating. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing from light winds, and urban heat effects in Munich, all introducing uncertainty typical of spring transitional patterns where daily highs average 13°C but vary widely. Hourly DWD updates and morning observations on April 18 will likely tip the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,116Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models drive the tight race in market-implied odds for Munich's highest temperature on April 18, with 20°C leading at 36.5%, 21°C at 29.0%, and 19°C at 23.0%, capturing trader consensus amid a 3-4°C spread in projections. DWD anticipates a late-afternoon peak near 22°C under a stabilizing high-pressure ridge and ample sunshine, while AccuWeather sees 18°C with intervals of clouds limiting solar heating. Key differentiators include afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing from light winds, and urban heat effects in Munich, all introducing uncertainty typical of spring transitional patterns where daily highs average 13°C but vary widely. Hourly DWD updates and morning observations on April 18 will likely tip the balance before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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