Official measurements from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily high of 56–57°F in New York City on May 24, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent cool northeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover suppressed daytime warming, keeping temperatures well below seasonal averages near 74°F. Forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service converged on this range days in advance, with minimal spread across ensembles. While alternative stations or post-event quality-control adjustments could theoretically shift the final reading, such revisions are rare and historically small; the current consensus reflects verified observational data rather than projections.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in NYC on May 24?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 24?
56-57°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$212,406 Vol.
$212,406 Vol.
24 mai 2026
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
Yes
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
No
56-57°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$212,406 Vol.
$212,406 Vol.
24 mai 2026
43°F or below
$896 Vol.
No
44-45°F
$1,775 Vol.
No
46-47°F
$1,070 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$1,759 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$1,901 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$23,337 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$17,051 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$18,621 Vol.
Yes
58-59°F
$14,017 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$12,068 Vol.
No
62°F or higher
$119,911 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily high of 56–57°F in New York City on May 24, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent cool northeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover suppressed daytime warming, keeping temperatures well below seasonal averages near 74°F. Forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service converged on this range days in advance, with minimal spread across ensembles. While alternative stations or post-event quality-control adjustments could theoretically shift the final reading, such revisions are rare and historically small; the current consensus reflects verified observational data rather than projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$212,406Date de fin
24 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily high of 56–57°F in New York City on May 24, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent cool northeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover suppressed daytime warming, keeping temperatures well below seasonal averages near 74°F. Forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service converged on this range days in advance, with minimal spread across ensembles. While alternative stations or post-event quality-control adjustments could theoretically shift the final reading, such revisions are rare and historically small; the current consensus reflects verified observational data rather than projections.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$212,406Date de fin
24 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official measurements from National Weather Service stations, including LaGuardia Airport, recorded a daily high of 56–57°F in New York City on May 24, 2026, aligning precisely with the market’s near-certain outcome. Persistent cool northeasterly flow and widespread cloud cover suppressed daytime warming, keeping temperatures well below seasonal averages near 74°F. Forecast models from NOAA and the National Weather Service converged on this range days in advance, with minimal spread across ensembles. While alternative stations or post-event quality-control adjustments could theoretically shift the final reading, such revisions are rare and historically small; the current consensus reflects verified observational data rather than projections.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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