Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for July 8 place Paris daytime maxima near 34–36 °C under a ridge of high pressure advecting warm subtropical air northward. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon cloud build-up, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, keeping the 33 °C, 34 °C, and 35 °C buckets tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology (mean high ~25 °C) underscores how anomalous the current pattern remains, while the absence of a strong marine layer or thunderstorm trigger limits upside risk above 37 °C. Updated model runs and Météo-France vigilance maps expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Paris le 8 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Paris le 8 juillet ?
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$106,164 Vol.
$106,164 Vol.
8 juil. 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$106,164 Vol.
$106,164 Vol.
8 juil. 2026
30°C or below
$9,896 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,546 Vol.
No
32°C
$10,453 Vol.
No
33°C
$34,574 Vol.
No
34°C
$20,001 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$10,635 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,873 Vol.
No
37°C
$3,896 Vol.
No
38°C
$3,877 Vol.
No
39°C
$1,890 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$1,523 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for July 8 place Paris daytime maxima near 34–36 °C under a ridge of high pressure advecting warm subtropical air northward. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon cloud build-up, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, keeping the 33 °C, 34 °C, and 35 °C buckets tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology (mean high ~25 °C) underscores how anomalous the current pattern remains, while the absence of a strong marine layer or thunderstorm trigger limits upside risk above 37 °C. Updated model runs and Météo-France vigilance maps expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$106,164Date de fin
8 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for July 8 place Paris daytime maxima near 34–36 °C under a ridge of high pressure advecting warm subtropical air northward. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon cloud build-up, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, keeping the 33 °C, 34 °C, and 35 °C buckets tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology (mean high ~25 °C) underscores how anomalous the current pattern remains, while the absence of a strong marine layer or thunderstorm trigger limits upside risk above 37 °C. Updated model runs and Météo-France vigilance maps expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$106,164Date de fin
8 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts for July 8 place Paris daytime maxima near 34–36 °C under a ridge of high pressure advecting warm subtropical air northward. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer mixing, potential afternoon cloud build-up, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage, keeping the 33 °C, 34 °C, and 35 °C buckets tightly bunched in trader pricing. Historical July climatology (mean high ~25 °C) underscores how anomalous the current pattern remains, while the absence of a strong marine layer or thunderstorm trigger limits upside risk above 37 °C. Updated model runs and Météo-France vigilance maps expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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