Official observations from the National Weather Service station at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, confirm yesterday's high temperature reached 62-63°F, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that bin amid negligible volume on alternatives. Persistent onshore flow and thick marine stratus clouds suppressed solar heating, aligning with forecast models from NOAA that projected peaks in the low 60s under cool coastal conditions typical for early May, when climatological highs average 64-65°F but often dip lower with Pacific influence. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, such as uncovering a brief higher spike, though preliminary airport readings are highly reliable; final NWS climatological summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 4 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 4 mai ?
62-63 °F 100.0%
47°F ou moins <1%
48-49 °F <1%
50-51 °F <1%
$110,817 Vol.
$110,817 Vol.
4 mai 2026
47°F ou moins
Non
48-49 °F
Non
50-51 °F
Non
52-53 °F
Non
54-55°F
Non
56-57°F
Non
58-59 °F
Non
60-61°F
Non
62-63 °F
Oui
64-65°F
Non
66°F ou plus
Non
62-63 °F 100.0%
47°F ou moins <1%
48-49 °F <1%
50-51 °F <1%
$110,817 Vol.
$110,817 Vol.
4 mai 2026
47°F ou moins
$956 Vol.
Non
48-49 °F
$317 Vol.
Non
50-51 °F
$911 Vol.
Non
52-53 °F
$1,851 Vol.
Non
54-55°F
$1,005 Vol.
Non
56-57°F
$1,734 Vol.
Non
58-59 °F
$14,779 Vol.
Non
60-61°F
$5,536 Vol.
Non
62-63 °F
$14,043 Vol.
Oui
64-65°F
$40,136 Vol.
Non
66°F ou plus
$29,549 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service station at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, confirm yesterday's high temperature reached 62-63°F, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that bin amid negligible volume on alternatives. Persistent onshore flow and thick marine stratus clouds suppressed solar heating, aligning with forecast models from NOAA that projected peaks in the low 60s under cool coastal conditions typical for early May, when climatological highs average 64-65°F but often dip lower with Pacific influence. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, such as uncovering a brief higher spike, though preliminary airport readings are highly reliable; final NWS climatological summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$110,817Date de fin
4 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service station at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, confirm yesterday's high temperature reached 62-63°F, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that bin amid negligible volume on alternatives. Persistent onshore flow and thick marine stratus clouds suppressed solar heating, aligning with forecast models from NOAA that projected peaks in the low 60s under cool coastal conditions typical for early May, when climatological highs average 64-65°F but often dip lower with Pacific influence. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, such as uncovering a brief higher spike, though preliminary airport readings are highly reliable; final NWS climatological summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$110,817Date de fin
4 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 2, 2026, 12:08 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Official observations from the National Weather Service station at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO), the market's resolution source via Weather Underground, confirm yesterday's high temperature reached 62-63°F, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that bin amid negligible volume on alternatives. Persistent onshore flow and thick marine stratus clouds suppressed solar heating, aligning with forecast models from NOAA that projected peaks in the low 60s under cool coastal conditions typical for early May, when climatological highs average 64-65°F but often dip lower with Pacific influence. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control, such as uncovering a brief higher spike, though preliminary airport readings are highly reliable; final NWS climatological summary expected soon will solidify resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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