Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and forecast model ensembles for Seattle's high temperature on April 17, with mid-50s°F outcomes leading amid a persistent upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest delivering cool marine air and persistent stratocumulus clouds that cap diurnal heating. The 56-57°F bin at 38% implied probability edges ahead due to the latest GFS and ECMWF runs converging on peak afternoon temperatures around 57°F under mostly overcast skies and light onshore flow, while 54-55°F (24.5%) accounts for potential thicker cloud decks or stray showers, and 58-59°F (28.5%) for brief sun breaks enhancing boundary-layer mixing. April climatology averages 58°F highs, but current synoptic patterns favor below-normal temps; watch this afternoon's 18Z model updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seattle on April 17?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 17?
56-57 °F 38%
58-59°F 28%
54-55 °F 25%
52-53°F 8%
NOUVEAU
$12,077 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,077 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
51°F ou moins
3%
52-53°F
8%
54-55 °F
25%
56-57 °F
38%
58-59°F
28%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70°F ou plus
<1%
56-57 °F 38%
58-59°F 28%
54-55 °F 25%
52-53°F 8%
NOUVEAU
$12,077 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$12,077 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
51°F ou moins
$2,063 Vol.
3%
52-53°F
$870 Vol.
8%
54-55 °F
$1,091 Vol.
25%
56-57 °F
$896 Vol.
38%
58-59°F
$1,025 Vol.
28%
60-61°F
$1,296 Vol.
3%
62-63°F
$1,064 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$792 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,022 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$888 Vol.
<1%
70°F ou plus
$1,068 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and forecast model ensembles for Seattle's high temperature on April 17, with mid-50s°F outcomes leading amid a persistent upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest delivering cool marine air and persistent stratocumulus clouds that cap diurnal heating. The 56-57°F bin at 38% implied probability edges ahead due to the latest GFS and ECMWF runs converging on peak afternoon temperatures around 57°F under mostly overcast skies and light onshore flow, while 54-55°F (24.5%) accounts for potential thicker cloud decks or stray showers, and 58-59°F (28.5%) for brief sun breaks enhancing boundary-layer mixing. April climatology averages 58°F highs, but current synoptic patterns favor below-normal temps; watch this afternoon's 18Z model updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Volume
$12,077Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and forecast model ensembles for Seattle's high temperature on April 17, with mid-50s°F outcomes leading amid a persistent upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest delivering cool marine air and persistent stratocumulus clouds that cap diurnal heating. The 56-57°F bin at 38% implied probability edges ahead due to the latest GFS and ECMWF runs converging on peak afternoon temperatures around 57°F under mostly overcast skies and light onshore flow, while 54-55°F (24.5%) accounts for potential thicker cloud decks or stray showers, and 58-59°F (28.5%) for brief sun breaks enhancing boundary-layer mixing. April climatology averages 58°F highs, but current synoptic patterns favor below-normal temps; watch this afternoon's 18Z model updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$12,077Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and forecast model ensembles for Seattle's high temperature on April 17, with mid-50s°F outcomes leading amid a persistent upper-level trough over the Pacific Northwest delivering cool marine air and persistent stratocumulus clouds that cap diurnal heating. The 56-57°F bin at 38% implied probability edges ahead due to the latest GFS and ECMWF runs converging on peak afternoon temperatures around 57°F under mostly overcast skies and light onshore flow, while 54-55°F (24.5%) accounts for potential thicker cloud decks or stray showers, and 58-59°F (28.5%) for brief sun breaks enhancing boundary-layer mixing. April climatology averages 58°F highs, but current synoptic patterns favor below-normal temps; watch this afternoon's 18Z model updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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