Trader consensus has locked in 25°C as the highest temperature in Shanghai on May 6 at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by intraday observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's official resolving station—peaking at 25°C under partly cloudy conditions with southerly winds at 14 km/h and 40% humidity capping solar heating. China Meteorological Administration forecasts and international model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) converge on this outcome, aligning with early May climatology where daily highs average 24-26°C amid typical spring frontal systems. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies enabling late-afternoon radiative warming to 26°C or minor measurement revisions, though current trajectories and diurnal patterns make higher readings unlikely; end-of-day airport data will finalize resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Shanghai on May 6?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 6?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$262,244 Vol.
$262,244 Vol.
6 mai 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$262,244 Vol.
$262,244 Vol.
6 mai 2026
19°C or below
$9,281 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,223 Vol.
No
21°C
$13,578 Vol.
No
22°C
$18,761 Vol.
No
23°C
$18,234 Vol.
No
24°C
$19,982 Vol.
No
25°C
$35,619 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$53,067 Vol.
No
27°C
$31,457 Vol.
No
28°C
$36,863 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$21,178 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 25°C as the highest temperature in Shanghai on May 6 at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by intraday observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's official resolving station—peaking at 25°C under partly cloudy conditions with southerly winds at 14 km/h and 40% humidity capping solar heating. China Meteorological Administration forecasts and international model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) converge on this outcome, aligning with early May climatology where daily highs average 24-26°C amid typical spring frontal systems. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies enabling late-afternoon radiative warming to 26°C or minor measurement revisions, though current trajectories and diurnal patterns make higher readings unlikely; end-of-day airport data will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 4, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Volume
$262,244Date de fin
6 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 12:35 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in 25°C as the highest temperature in Shanghai on May 6 at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by intraday observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's official resolving station—peaking at 25°C under partly cloudy conditions with southerly winds at 14 km/h and 40% humidity capping solar heating. China Meteorological Administration forecasts and international model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) converge on this outcome, aligning with early May climatology where daily highs average 24-26°C amid typical spring frontal systems. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies enabling late-afternoon radiative warming to 26°C or minor measurement revisions, though current trajectories and diurnal patterns make higher readings unlikely; end-of-day airport data will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$262,244Date de fin
6 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 12:35 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus has locked in 25°C as the highest temperature in Shanghai on May 6 at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by intraday observations at Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's official resolving station—peaking at 25°C under partly cloudy conditions with southerly winds at 14 km/h and 40% humidity capping solar heating. China Meteorological Administration forecasts and international model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) converge on this outcome, aligning with early May climatology where daily highs average 24-26°C amid typical spring frontal systems. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies enabling late-afternoon radiative warming to 26°C or minor measurement revisions, though current trajectories and diurnal patterns make higher readings unlikely; end-of-day airport data will finalize resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes