Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency align with the seasonal June average high of 26°C for Tokyo, reflecting typical early-summer conditions under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and modest warming trends. Recent agency outlooks note above-average temperatures nationwide through the month but place mid-June maxima in the narrow 25–28°C range absent major synoptic shifts. This consensus underpins the market’s near-certain 26°C outcome, as real-time model runs and observational baselines show little deviation expected today. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast convective cooling could still lower the daily maximum, though such changes remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Tokyo on June 14?
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$87,881 Vol.
$87,881 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$87,881 Vol.
$87,881 Vol.
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency align with the seasonal June average high of 26°C for Tokyo, reflecting typical early-summer conditions under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and modest warming trends. Recent agency outlooks note above-average temperatures nationwide through the month but place mid-June maxima in the narrow 25–28°C range absent major synoptic shifts. This consensus underpins the market’s near-certain 26°C outcome, as real-time model runs and observational baselines show little deviation expected today. A rapid influx of cooler maritime air or unforecast convective cooling could still lower the daily maximum, though such changes remain low-probability given the stable steering pattern.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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