Official MetService guidance projects a 15°C maximum for Wellington on August 25 under northwesterly flow, with historical August averages near 12–13°C providing baseline context amid emerging El Niño conditions that favor near-average winter temperatures across the North Island. Model consensus and local variability in wind-driven mixing support trader emphasis on 15–16°C outcomes, while cooler southerly shifts or clearer skies could push readings lower. Short-range updates from MetService and NIWA over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus élevée à Wellington le 25 août ?
Température la plus élevée à Wellington le 25 août ?
16°C 54%
15°C 28%
17°C 16%
14°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
6%
15°C
28%
16°C
54%
17°C
16%
18°C
4%
19°C
4%
20°C or higher
2%
16°C 54%
15°C 28%
17°C 16%
14°C 6%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 août 2026
10°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$0 Vol.
1%
13°C
$0 Vol.
3%
14°C
$0 Vol.
6%
15°C
$57 Vol.
28%
16°C
$101 Vol.
54%
17°C
$87 Vol.
16%
18°C
$0 Vol.
4%
19°C
$5 Vol.
4%
20°C or higher
$12 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService guidance projects a 15°C maximum for Wellington on August 25 under northwesterly flow, with historical August averages near 12–13°C providing baseline context amid emerging El Niño conditions that favor near-average winter temperatures across the North Island. Model consensus and local variability in wind-driven mixing support trader emphasis on 15–16°C outcomes, while cooler southerly shifts or clearer skies could push readings lower. Short-range updates from MetService and NIWA over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$273Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService guidance projects a 15°C maximum for Wellington on August 25 under northwesterly flow, with historical August averages near 12–13°C providing baseline context amid emerging El Niño conditions that favor near-average winter temperatures across the North Island. Model consensus and local variability in wind-driven mixing support trader emphasis on 15–16°C outcomes, while cooler southerly shifts or clearer skies could push readings lower. Short-range updates from MetService and NIWA over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$273Date de fin
25 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official MetService guidance projects a 15°C maximum for Wellington on August 25 under northwesterly flow, with historical August averages near 12–13°C providing baseline context amid emerging El Niño conditions that favor near-average winter temperatures across the North Island. Model consensus and local variability in wind-driven mixing support trader emphasis on 15–16°C outcomes, while cooler southerly shifts or clearer skies could push readings lower. Short-range updates from MetService and NIWA over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could refine these implied probabilities before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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