Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 1, 2026—implied probability near 100%—driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting daytime highs around 25-27°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. Early morning observations confirm cool starts near 14-16°C following a late-April cold air outbreak that suppressed temperatures below 20°C through April 22, with high clouds now limiting solar heating and preventing stronger daytime warming. Historical May 1 averages hover near 26°C, reinforcing model consensus. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation beyond projections, though current atmospheric stability and ensemble forecast agreement make 29°C improbable; monitor hourly METAR reports from ZHHH for final resolution after midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 1?
26°C 100%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$60,961 Vol.
$60,961 Vol.
1 mai 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
26°C 100%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$60,961 Vol.
$60,961 Vol.
1 mai 2026
20°C or below
$3,728 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,283 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,911 Vol.
No
23°C
$3,962 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,281 Vol.
No
25°C
$12,986 Vol.
No
26°C
$6,238 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$5,962 Vol.
No
28°C
$7,843 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,218 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$5,550 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 1, 2026—implied probability near 100%—driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting daytime highs around 25-27°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. Early morning observations confirm cool starts near 14-16°C following a late-April cold air outbreak that suppressed temperatures below 20°C through April 22, with high clouds now limiting solar heating and preventing stronger daytime warming. Historical May 1 averages hover near 26°C, reinforcing model consensus. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation beyond projections, though current atmospheric stability and ensemble forecast agreement make 29°C improbable; monitor hourly METAR reports from ZHHH for final resolution after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$60,961Date de fin
1 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 1, 2026—implied probability near 100%—driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting daytime highs around 25-27°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. Early morning observations confirm cool starts near 14-16°C following a late-April cold air outbreak that suppressed temperatures below 20°C through April 22, with high clouds now limiting solar heating and preventing stronger daytime warming. Historical May 1 averages hover near 26°C, reinforcing model consensus. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation beyond projections, though current atmospheric stability and ensemble forecast agreement make 29°C improbable; monitor hourly METAR reports from ZHHH for final resolution after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$60,961Date de fin
1 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 29, 2026, 12:07 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on May 1, 2026—implied probability near 100%—driven by the latest forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and international sources like AccuWeather, projecting daytime highs around 25-27°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. Early morning observations confirm cool starts near 14-16°C following a late-April cold air outbreak that suppressed temperatures below 20°C through April 22, with high clouds now limiting solar heating and preventing stronger daytime warming. Historical May 1 averages hover near 26°C, reinforcing model consensus. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation beyond projections, though current atmospheric stability and ensemble forecast agreement make 29°C improbable; monitor hourly METAR reports from ZHHH for final resolution after midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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