With leading market-implied odds clustered tightly between 22–24°C (each near 19–20%), traders reflect substantial uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for Seoul’s minimum temperature on July 20. The East Asian summer monsoon’s variable moisture flux, combined with urban heat-island effects and potential nocturnal cloud cover, modulates radiative cooling and creates modest day-to-day spread in model guidance from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration. Historical July minima average near 22–23°C, providing a climatological baseline that current conditions have not yet deviated from decisively. Fresh observational data and updated model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could consolidate or further disperse these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Séoul le 20 juillet ?
La température la plus basse à Séoul le 20 juillet ?
23°C 100.0%
18°C ou moins <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$19,141 Vol.
$19,141 Vol.
20 juil. 2026
18°C ou moins
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Oui
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C ou plus
Non
23°C 100.0%
18°C ou moins <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$19,141 Vol.
$19,141 Vol.
20 juil. 2026
18°C ou moins
$1,736 Vol.
Non
19°C
$2,333 Vol.
Non
20°C
$2,630 Vol.
Non
21°C
$1,482 Vol.
Non
22°C
$1,969 Vol.
Non
23°C
$5,140 Vol.
Oui
24°C
$1,399 Vol.
Non
25°C
$919 Vol.
Non
26°C
$464 Vol.
Non
27°C
$689 Vol.
Non
28°C ou plus
$380 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.With leading market-implied odds clustered tightly between 22–24°C (each near 19–20%), traders reflect substantial uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for Seoul’s minimum temperature on July 20. The East Asian summer monsoon’s variable moisture flux, combined with urban heat-island effects and potential nocturnal cloud cover, modulates radiative cooling and creates modest day-to-day spread in model guidance from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration. Historical July minima average near 22–23°C, providing a climatological baseline that current conditions have not yet deviated from decisively. Fresh observational data and updated model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could consolidate or further disperse these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$19,141Date de fin
20 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.With leading market-implied odds clustered tightly between 22–24°C (each near 19–20%), traders reflect substantial uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for Seoul’s minimum temperature on July 20. The East Asian summer monsoon’s variable moisture flux, combined with urban heat-island effects and potential nocturnal cloud cover, modulates radiative cooling and creates modest day-to-day spread in model guidance from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration. Historical July minima average near 22–23°C, providing a climatological baseline that current conditions have not yet deviated from decisively. Fresh observational data and updated model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could consolidate or further disperse these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$19,141Date de fin
20 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
With leading market-implied odds clustered tightly between 22–24°C (each near 19–20%), traders reflect substantial uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for Seoul’s minimum temperature on July 20. The East Asian summer monsoon’s variable moisture flux, combined with urban heat-island effects and potential nocturnal cloud cover, modulates radiative cooling and creates modest day-to-day spread in model guidance from agencies such as the Korea Meteorological Administration. Historical July minima average near 22–23°C, providing a climatological baseline that current conditions have not yet deviated from decisively. Fresh observational data and updated model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts that could consolidate or further disperse these probabilities.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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