Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for Seoul and Incheon on September 16 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, consistent with typical mid-September climatology featuring stable high-pressure conditions and diurnal ranges of 10–12°C. This underpins the market's 96.5% implied probability for 16°C. Traders appear to weight the consensus guidance heavily, as official observations at Incheon International Airport and Seoul stations will determine resolution. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover increasing overnight minimums or localized urban heat effects altering readings by 1°C, though current model agreement and absence of frontal activity limit such deviations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 16 septembre ?
Température la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 16 septembre ?
16°C 97%
15°C 6%
12°C 1.0%
11°C ou moins <1%
$12,245 Vol.
$12,245 Vol.
16 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
97%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C ou plus
<1%
16°C 97%
15°C 6%
12°C 1.0%
11°C ou moins <1%
$12,245 Vol.
$12,245 Vol.
16 sept. 2026
11°C ou moins
$146 Vol.
1%
12°C
$156 Vol.
1%
13°C
$96 Vol.
1%
14°C
$149 Vol.
1%
15°C
$2,120 Vol.
6%
16°C
$2,857 Vol.
97%
17°C
$2,992 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,282 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,059 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$132 Vol.
<1%
21°C ou plus
$1,257 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for Seoul and Incheon on September 16 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, consistent with typical mid-September climatology featuring stable high-pressure conditions and diurnal ranges of 10–12°C. This underpins the market's 96.5% implied probability for 16°C. Traders appear to weight the consensus guidance heavily, as official observations at Incheon International Airport and Seoul stations will determine resolution. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover increasing overnight minimums or localized urban heat effects altering readings by 1°C, though current model agreement and absence of frontal activity limit such deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$12,245Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for Seoul and Incheon on September 16 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, consistent with typical mid-September climatology featuring stable high-pressure conditions and diurnal ranges of 10–12°C. This underpins the market's 96.5% implied probability for 16°C. Traders appear to weight the consensus guidance heavily, as official observations at Incheon International Airport and Seoul stations will determine resolution. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover increasing overnight minimums or localized urban heat effects altering readings by 1°C, though current model agreement and absence of frontal activity limit such deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,245Date de fin
16 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a minimum temperature of 16°C for Seoul and Incheon on September 16 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, consistent with typical mid-September climatology featuring stable high-pressure conditions and diurnal ranges of 10–12°C. This underpins the market's 96.5% implied probability for 16°C. Traders appear to weight the consensus guidance heavily, as official observations at Incheon International Airport and Seoul stations will determine resolution. Scenarios that could realistically shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover increasing overnight minimums or localized urban heat effects altering readings by 1°C, though current model agreement and absence of frontal activity limit such deviations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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