**Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model guidance place the expected minimum temperature for Seoul-Incheon on September 17 in the 17–19 °C range, directly explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes.** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity support efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 27–28 °C, while residual cloud cover and a stable high-pressure regime prevent deeper drops. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight minima of 16–20 °C during similar transitional patterns, reinforcing trader focus on this narrow band. Final resolution will depend on the 06:00–09:00 KST observations tomorrow, with any last-minute model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind likely to decide between the leading 18 °C and 19 °C contracts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTempérature la plus basse à Séoul (Incheon) le 17 septembre ?
19°C 35%
18°C 33%
17°C 11%
22°C 7.1%
14°C ou moins
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
11%
18°C
33%
19°C
35%
20°C
7%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
1%
24°C ou plus
7%
19°C 35%
18°C 33%
17°C 11%
22°C 7.1%
14°C ou moins
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
11%
18°C
33%
19°C
35%
20°C
7%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
1%
24°C ou plus
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble model guidance place the expected minimum temperature for Seoul-Incheon on September 17 in the 17–19 °C range, directly explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those outcomes.** Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light easterly winds, and moderate humidity support efficient radiative cooling after daytime highs near 27–28 °C, while residual cloud cover and a stable high-pressure regime prevent deeper drops. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical overnight minima of 16–20 °C during similar transitional patterns, reinforcing trader focus on this narrow band. Final resolution will depend on the 06:00–09:00 KST observations tomorrow, with any last-minute model shifts in boundary-layer moisture or wind likely to decide between the leading 18 °C and 19 °C contracts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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