Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a warming trend into September 25, with daytime highs likely reaching the low-to-mid 30s°C amid a weakening cold air influence and southerly flow. Trader consensus reflected in closely matched implied probabilities for 32–34°C stems primarily from model spread on cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress maximum temperatures by 1–3°C under persistent rain or thick overcast. Recent runs show light-to-moderate rain possible that day, while clearer intervals could allow peaks near 34°C; historical September baselines in Wuhan average around 27°C, underscoring the role of this transient ridge in elevating outcomes. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could further refine these odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 25 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Wuhan le 25 septembre ?
32°C 24%
33°C 23%
31°C 18%
29°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 sept. 2026
27°C ou moins
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
15%
30°C
13%
31°C
18%
32°C
24%
33°C
23%
34°C
21%
35°C
9%
36°C
6%
37°C ou plus
<1%
32°C 24%
33°C 23%
31°C 18%
29°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 sept. 2026
27°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
15%
30°C
$0 Vol.
13%
31°C
$0 Vol.
18%
32°C
$0 Vol.
24%
33°C
$0 Vol.
23%
34°C
$30 Vol.
21%
35°C
$0 Vol.
9%
36°C
$9 Vol.
6%
37°C ou plus
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a warming trend into September 25, with daytime highs likely reaching the low-to-mid 30s°C amid a weakening cold air influence and southerly flow. Trader consensus reflected in closely matched implied probabilities for 32–34°C stems primarily from model spread on cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress maximum temperatures by 1–3°C under persistent rain or thick overcast. Recent runs show light-to-moderate rain possible that day, while clearer intervals could allow peaks near 34°C; historical September baselines in Wuhan average around 27°C, underscoring the role of this transient ridge in elevating outcomes. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could further refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$54Date de fin
25 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a warming trend into September 25, with daytime highs likely reaching the low-to-mid 30s°C amid a weakening cold air influence and southerly flow. Trader consensus reflected in closely matched implied probabilities for 32–34°C stems primarily from model spread on cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress maximum temperatures by 1–3°C under persistent rain or thick overcast. Recent runs show light-to-moderate rain possible that day, while clearer intervals could allow peaks near 34°C; historical September baselines in Wuhan average around 27°C, underscoring the role of this transient ridge in elevating outcomes. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could further refine these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$54Date de fin
25 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 23, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a warming trend into September 25, with daytime highs likely reaching the low-to-mid 30s°C amid a weakening cold air influence and southerly flow. Trader consensus reflected in closely matched implied probabilities for 32–34°C stems primarily from model spread on cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can suppress maximum temperatures by 1–3°C under persistent rain or thick overcast. Recent runs show light-to-moderate rain possible that day, while clearer intervals could allow peaks near 34°C; historical September baselines in Wuhan average around 27°C, underscoring the role of this transient ridge in elevating outcomes. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours could further refine these odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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