SpaceX's rapid Falcon 9 cadence, driven by ongoing Starlink deployments and mixed-payload missions, underpins the tightly clustered market odds around 12–14 launches for September 2026. Confirmed or targeted flights include multiple Starlink groups from Vandenberg in early September, Crew-13 on September 12, an O3b mPOWER triple in mid-month, plus potential Tranche 1 military satellites and Starship Flight 14, all hinging on booster reuse rates, regulatory approvals, and minimal scrubs. Traders weigh historical monthly averages near this range against risks of delays from technical issues or added missions, with the narrow spread reflecting uncertainty over whether extra Starlink or commercial flights will materialize before month-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour<12 40%
12 38%
14 38%
13 37%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
<12
40%
12
38%
13
37%
14
38%
15+
26%
<12 40%
12 38%
14 38%
13 37%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 sept. 2026
<12
$0 Vol.
40%
12
$0 Vol.
38%
13
$0 Vol.
37%
14
$0 Vol.
38%
15+
$0 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.SpaceX's rapid Falcon 9 cadence, driven by ongoing Starlink deployments and mixed-payload missions, underpins the tightly clustered market odds around 12–14 launches for September 2026. Confirmed or targeted flights include multiple Starlink groups from Vandenberg in early September, Crew-13 on September 12, an O3b mPOWER triple in mid-month, plus potential Tranche 1 military satellites and Starship Flight 14, all hinging on booster reuse rates, regulatory approvals, and minimal scrubs. Traders weigh historical monthly averages near this range against risks of delays from technical issues or added missions, with the narrow spread reflecting uncertainty over whether extra Starlink or commercial flights will materialize before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Marché ouvert : Aug 26, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.SpaceX's rapid Falcon 9 cadence, driven by ongoing Starlink deployments and mixed-payload missions, underpins the tightly clustered market odds around 12–14 launches for September 2026. Confirmed or targeted flights include multiple Starlink groups from Vandenberg in early September, Crew-13 on September 12, an O3b mPOWER triple in mid-month, plus potential Tranche 1 military satellites and Starship Flight 14, all hinging on booster reuse rates, regulatory approvals, and minimal scrubs. Traders weigh historical monthly averages near this range against risks of delays from technical issues or added missions, with the narrow spread reflecting uncertainty over whether extra Starlink or commercial flights will materialize before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between September 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Volume
$0Date de fin
30 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 26, 2026, 5:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's rapid Falcon 9 cadence, driven by ongoing Starlink deployments and mixed-payload missions, underpins the tightly clustered market odds around 12–14 launches for September 2026. Confirmed or targeted flights include multiple Starlink groups from Vandenberg in early September, Crew-13 on September 12, an O3b mPOWER triple in mid-month, plus potential Tranche 1 military satellites and Starship Flight 14, all hinging on booster reuse rates, regulatory approvals, and minimal scrubs. Traders weigh historical monthly averages near this range against risks of delays from technical issues or added missions, with the narrow spread reflecting uncertainty over whether extra Starlink or commercial flights will materialize before month-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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