Illinois Democrats hold a structural advantage in U.S. Senate contests, with no Republican victory since 2010, and the open seat created by Dick Durbin’s retirement has produced a clear frontrunner in Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton. She secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Governor J.B. Pritzker and substantial outside spending, while raising nearly $4.8 million compared with Republican nominee Don Tracy’s $2.3 million. These factors, combined with consistent partisan voting patterns in the state, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political realignment, or sharp shifts in turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$25,262 Vol.
$25,262 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
94%
Don Tracy (R)
4%
$25,262 Vol.
$25,262 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Juliana Stratton (D)
$12,850 Vol.
94%
Don Tracy (R)
$12,412 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois Democrats hold a structural advantage in U.S. Senate contests, with no Republican victory since 2010, and the open seat created by Dick Durbin’s retirement has produced a clear frontrunner in Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton. She secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Governor J.B. Pritzker and substantial outside spending, while raising nearly $4.8 million compared with Republican nominee Don Tracy’s $2.3 million. These factors, combined with consistent partisan voting patterns in the state, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political realignment, or sharp shifts in turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$25,262Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois Democrats hold a structural advantage in U.S. Senate contests, with no Republican victory since 2010, and the open seat created by Dick Durbin’s retirement has produced a clear frontrunner in Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton. She secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Governor J.B. Pritzker and substantial outside spending, while raising nearly $4.8 million compared with Republican nominee Don Tracy’s $2.3 million. These factors, combined with consistent partisan voting patterns in the state, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political realignment, or sharp shifts in turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$25,262Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois Democrats hold a structural advantage in U.S. Senate contests, with no Republican victory since 2010, and the open seat created by Dick Durbin’s retirement has produced a clear frontrunner in Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton. She secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with backing from Governor J.B. Pritzker and substantial outside spending, while raising nearly $4.8 million compared with Republican nominee Don Tracy’s $2.3 million. These factors, combined with consistent partisan voting patterns in the state, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the market prices. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political realignment, or sharp shifts in turnout could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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