Indiana's 6th congressional district maintains a strongly Republican profile with an R+16 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Jefferson Shreve secured the Republican nomination after defeating primary challenger Sarah Janisse Brown in May 2026, while Cynthia Wirth emerged as the Democratic nominee following her party's primary. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability of holding the seat in November, reflecting the district's voting history, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of major recent developments that would alter the baseline outlook. A national Democratic wave, unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent, or sharply depressed Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable absent extraordinary circumstances.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourIN-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
IN-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$26,678 Vol.
$26,678 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
95%
Parti démocrate
6%
$26,678 Vol.
$26,678 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$19,138 Vol.
95%
Parti démocrate
$7,540 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Indiana's 6th congressional district maintains a strongly Republican profile with an R+16 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Jefferson Shreve secured the Republican nomination after defeating primary challenger Sarah Janisse Brown in May 2026, while Cynthia Wirth emerged as the Democratic nominee following her party's primary. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability of holding the seat in November, reflecting the district's voting history, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of major recent developments that would alter the baseline outlook. A national Democratic wave, unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent, or sharply depressed Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable absent extraordinary circumstances.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$26,678Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Indiana's 6th congressional district maintains a strongly Republican profile with an R+16 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Jefferson Shreve secured the Republican nomination after defeating primary challenger Sarah Janisse Brown in May 2026, while Cynthia Wirth emerged as the Democratic nominee following her party's primary. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability of holding the seat in November, reflecting the district's voting history, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of major recent developments that would alter the baseline outlook. A national Democratic wave, unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent, or sharply depressed Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable absent extraordinary circumstances.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,678Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Indiana's 6th congressional district maintains a strongly Republican profile with an R+16 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Jefferson Shreve secured the Republican nomination after defeating primary challenger Sarah Janisse Brown in May 2026, while Cynthia Wirth emerged as the Democratic nominee following her party's primary. Traders assign the Republican Party a 94.5% implied probability of holding the seat in November, reflecting the district's voting history, limited Democratic infrastructure, and absence of major recent developments that would alter the baseline outlook. A national Democratic wave, unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent, or sharply depressed Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such shifts improbable absent extraordinary circumstances.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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