Adam Hamilton leads the August 4, 2026, Kansas Democratic Senate primary with strong trader support due to his late-April announcement as a prominent United Methodist pastor, rapid fundraising exceeding $1 million in the first week, and statewide name recognition that outpaces lesser-known rivals. Other declared candidates, including Damon Anderson, Christy Davis, Erik Murray, Jason Hart, and several others, remain in the field but have shown limited public momentum or financial traction so far. The race occurs in a solidly Republican general-election environment against incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall, making the Democratic nomination a lower-stakes contest where early organizational and donor advantages heavily shape current implied probabilities. No major late developments have altered the field since Hamilton’s entry.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourAdam Hamilton 86%
Christy Davis 4.3%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 2.5%
Jason Hart 1.1%
$146,649 Vol.
$146,649 Vol.
Adam Hamilton
86%
Christy Davis
4%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
2%
Jason Hart
1%
Erik Murray
1%
Patrick Schmidt
1%
Noah Taylor
1%
Damon Anderson
1%
Sharice Davids
<1%
Kevin Latz
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
Adam Hamilton 86%
Christy Davis 4.3%
Sandy Spidel Neumann 2.5%
Jason Hart 1.1%
$146,649 Vol.
$146,649 Vol.
Adam Hamilton
86%
Christy Davis
4%
Sandy Spidel Neumann
2%
Jason Hart
1%
Erik Murray
1%
Patrick Schmidt
1%
Noah Taylor
1%
Damon Anderson
1%
Sharice Davids
<1%
Kevin Latz
<1%
Michael Soetaert
<1%
Anne Parelkar
<1%
If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Nov 26, 2025, 5:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kansas Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kansas Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adam Hamilton leads the August 4, 2026, Kansas Democratic Senate primary with strong trader support due to his late-April announcement as a prominent United Methodist pastor, rapid fundraising exceeding $1 million in the first week, and statewide name recognition that outpaces lesser-known rivals. Other declared candidates, including Damon Anderson, Christy Davis, Erik Murray, Jason Hart, and several others, remain in the field but have shown limited public momentum or financial traction so far. The race occurs in a solidly Republican general-election environment against incumbent Sen. Roger Marshall, making the Democratic nomination a lower-stakes contest where early organizational and donor advantages heavily shape current implied probabilities. No major late developments have altered the field since Hamilton’s entry.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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