Recent numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Cape Town minimum temperatures on September 24 will likely range 14–16°C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and high humidity that limits overnight radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market’s elevated implied probability for 10°C or below (46%) and 15°C (27%), reflecting trader assessment of model spread and potential for localized cooling near the coast or airport station. No strong cold front or anomalous high-pressure setup is forecast to drive sharper drops below historical September norms around 11–13°C. South African Weather Service outlooks through the period emphasize stable, mild patterns with minimal precipitation risk, keeping focus on the next model cycle for any revisions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse au Cap le 24 septembre ?
La température la plus basse au Cap le 24 septembre ?
10°C ou moins 93%
20°C ou plus 44%
14°C 40%
13°C 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
93%
11°C
17%
12°C
23%
13°C
38%
14°C
40%
15°C
27%
16°C
21%
17°C
12%
18°C
21%
19°C
1%
20°C ou plus
44%
10°C ou moins 93%
20°C ou plus 44%
14°C 40%
13°C 38%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
24 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
93%
11°C
$0 Vol.
17%
12°C
$0 Vol.
23%
13°C
$0 Vol.
38%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
27%
16°C
$0 Vol.
21%
17°C
$0 Vol.
12%
18°C
$0 Vol.
21%
19°C
$0 Vol.
1%
20°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Cape Town minimum temperatures on September 24 will likely range 14–16°C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and high humidity that limits overnight radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market’s elevated implied probability for 10°C or below (46%) and 15°C (27%), reflecting trader assessment of model spread and potential for localized cooling near the coast or airport station. No strong cold front or anomalous high-pressure setup is forecast to drive sharper drops below historical September norms around 11–13°C. South African Weather Service outlooks through the period emphasize stable, mild patterns with minimal precipitation risk, keeping focus on the next model cycle for any revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Cape Town minimum temperatures on September 24 will likely range 14–16°C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and high humidity that limits overnight radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market’s elevated implied probability for 10°C or below (46%) and 15°C (27%), reflecting trader assessment of model spread and potential for localized cooling near the coast or airport station. No strong cold front or anomalous high-pressure setup is forecast to drive sharper drops below historical September norms around 11–13°C. South African Weather Service outlooks through the period emphasize stable, mild patterns with minimal precipitation risk, keeping focus on the next model cycle for any revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Date de fin
24 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction runs, including GFS guidance, indicate Cape Town minimum temperatures on September 24 will likely range 14–16°C under mostly cloudy skies, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and high humidity that limits overnight radiational cooling. These conditions align with the market’s elevated implied probability for 10°C or below (46%) and 15°C (27%), reflecting trader assessment of model spread and potential for localized cooling near the coast or airport station. No strong cold front or anomalous high-pressure setup is forecast to drive sharper drops below historical September norms around 11–13°C. South African Weather Service outlooks through the period emphasize stable, mild patterns with minimal precipitation risk, keeping focus on the next model cycle for any revisions.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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