Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional guidance points to overnight lows near 14–17°C for Cape Town on September 25, driven by a passing frontal system bringing showers and moderate northwesterly to southwesterly winds under a Mediterranean climate regime. This setup favors minima in the mid-teens, consistent with spring transitional patterns where Atlantic moisture interacts with the Benguela Current's cooling influence, though exact timing of cloud cover and precipitation introduces variability that could push readings a few degrees lower or higher. Historical September lows average around 11°C, providing context for the balanced market-implied odds between sub-10°C outcomes and warmer scenarios above 20°C. Updated forecast runs and local observations from the South African Weather Service over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse au Cap le 25 septembre ?
La température la plus basse au Cap le 25 septembre ?
10°C ou moins 98%
20°C ou plus 98%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
98%
11°C
39%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
39%
16°C
20%
17°C
20%
18°C
20%
19°C
4%
20°C ou plus
98%
10°C ou moins 98%
20°C ou plus 98%
12°C 40%
13°C 40%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
25 sept. 2026
10°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
98%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
40%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
20%
17°C
$0 Vol.
20%
18°C
$0 Vol.
20%
19°C
$410 Vol.
4%
20°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional guidance points to overnight lows near 14–17°C for Cape Town on September 25, driven by a passing frontal system bringing showers and moderate northwesterly to southwesterly winds under a Mediterranean climate regime. This setup favors minima in the mid-teens, consistent with spring transitional patterns where Atlantic moisture interacts with the Benguela Current's cooling influence, though exact timing of cloud cover and precipitation introduces variability that could push readings a few degrees lower or higher. Historical September lows average around 11°C, providing context for the balanced market-implied odds between sub-10°C outcomes and warmer scenarios above 20°C. Updated forecast runs and local observations from the South African Weather Service over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$410Date de fin
25 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional guidance points to overnight lows near 14–17°C for Cape Town on September 25, driven by a passing frontal system bringing showers and moderate northwesterly to southwesterly winds under a Mediterranean climate regime. This setup favors minima in the mid-teens, consistent with spring transitional patterns where Atlantic moisture interacts with the Benguela Current's cooling influence, though exact timing of cloud cover and precipitation introduces variability that could push readings a few degrees lower or higher. Historical September lows average around 11°C, providing context for the balanced market-implied odds between sub-10°C outcomes and warmer scenarios above 20°C. Updated forecast runs and local observations from the South African Weather Service over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$410Date de fin
25 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including GFS and regional guidance points to overnight lows near 14–17°C for Cape Town on September 25, driven by a passing frontal system bringing showers and moderate northwesterly to southwesterly winds under a Mediterranean climate regime. This setup favors minima in the mid-teens, consistent with spring transitional patterns where Atlantic moisture interacts with the Benguela Current's cooling influence, though exact timing of cloud cover and precipitation introduces variability that could push readings a few degrees lower or higher. Historical September lows average around 11°C, providing context for the balanced market-implied odds between sub-10°C outcomes and warmer scenarios above 20°C. Updated forecast runs and local observations from the South African Weather Service over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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