Persistent warm, humid conditions across South Florida, with recent overnight lows near 81°F amid scattered thunderstorms and high dew points, anchor trader expectations for Miami’s August 24 minimum in the 78–81°F range. Limited radiative cooling from cloud cover and moisture, combined with typical August steering patterns and sea-breeze influences, keeps temperatures from dropping sharply. National Weather Service guidance and extended models show lows clustered around 80–82°F, with slight day-to-day variability driven by afternoon storm timing and overnight clearing. The tight spread between leading bins reflects genuine uncertainty in these factors rather than model divergence, as traders weigh historical August baselines (average low near 78–80°F) against the current above-average heat pattern.