Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on July 11 points to a daily minimum near 81–82°F amid a stable subtropical pattern. High atmospheric moisture and warm Atlantic/Gulf Stream waters limit radiative cooling overnight, while light southeast winds and urban heat retention keep temperatures elevated relative to historical July averages of ~78–81°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with slight differences in cloud cover or seabreeze timing able to shift the exact low between the tightly priced 80–81°F and 82–83°F brackets. Traders appear to weigh these near-term forecast details against Miami’s climatological tendency for persistent warmth, producing closely matched implied probabilities without strong directional signals from recent observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Miami le 11 juillet ?
La température la plus basse à Miami le 11 juillet ?
72-73°F 100.0%
71°F ou moins <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$47,830 Vol.
$47,830 Vol.
11 juil. 2026
71°F ou moins
Non
72-73°F
Oui
74-75°F
Non
76-77°F
Non
78-79 °F
Non
80-81°F
Non
82-83°F
Non
84-85°F
Non
86-87°F
Non
88-89 °F
Non
90°F ou plus
Non
72-73°F 100.0%
71°F ou moins <1%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$47,830 Vol.
$47,830 Vol.
11 juil. 2026
71°F ou moins
$6,161 Vol.
Non
72-73°F
$5,507 Vol.
Oui
74-75°F
$6,529 Vol.
Non
76-77°F
$4,797 Vol.
Non
78-79 °F
$2,420 Vol.
Non
80-81°F
$6,377 Vol.
Non
82-83°F
$5,919 Vol.
Non
84-85°F
$5,126 Vol.
Non
86-87°F
$1,930 Vol.
Non
88-89 °F
$1,195 Vol.
Non
90°F ou plus
$1,870 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on July 11 points to a daily minimum near 81–82°F amid a stable subtropical pattern. High atmospheric moisture and warm Atlantic/Gulf Stream waters limit radiative cooling overnight, while light southeast winds and urban heat retention keep temperatures elevated relative to historical July averages of ~78–81°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with slight differences in cloud cover or seabreeze timing able to shift the exact low between the tightly priced 80–81°F and 82–83°F brackets. Traders appear to weigh these near-term forecast details against Miami’s climatological tendency for persistent warmth, producing closely matched implied probabilities without strong directional signals from recent observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$47,830Date de fin
11 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on July 11 points to a daily minimum near 81–82°F amid a stable subtropical pattern. High atmospheric moisture and warm Atlantic/Gulf Stream waters limit radiative cooling overnight, while light southeast winds and urban heat retention keep temperatures elevated relative to historical July averages of ~78–81°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with slight differences in cloud cover or seabreeze timing able to shift the exact low between the tightly priced 80–81°F and 82–83°F brackets. Traders appear to weigh these near-term forecast details against Miami’s climatological tendency for persistent warmth, producing closely matched implied probabilities without strong directional signals from recent observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$47,830Date de fin
11 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 9, 2026, 9:30 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on July 11 points to a daily minimum near 81–82°F amid a stable subtropical pattern. High atmospheric moisture and warm Atlantic/Gulf Stream waters limit radiative cooling overnight, while light southeast winds and urban heat retention keep temperatures elevated relative to historical July averages of ~78–81°F. Model consensus shows minimal day-to-day variability, with slight differences in cloud cover or seabreeze timing able to shift the exact low between the tightly priced 80–81°F and 82–83°F brackets. Traders appear to weigh these near-term forecast details against Miami’s climatological tendency for persistent warmth, producing closely matched implied probabilities without strong directional signals from recent observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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